Breidablik
vs
Keflavik
3 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | V. Einarsson | ||
| 46′ | S. MagnussonA. Magnusson | ||
| 46′ | E. KarlssonN. Heras | ||
| 69′ | J. Arnarsson | ||
| 70′ | K. SteindorssonD. Ingvarsson | ||
| 70′ | J. ArnarssonB. Thorsteinsson | ||
| 76′ | E. Ragnarsson | ||
| 83′ | T. UlfarssonA. Gunnleifsson | ||
| 83′ | I. ArnasonD. Fjeldsted | ||
| 83′ | V. A. TraustasonB. L. Brynjarsson | ||
| 83′ | M. SimicicA. Adalbjorssnos | ||
| 88′ | A. ContehR. Holmarsson | ||
| 90′ | V. EinarssonG. Hallsson | ||
| 90′ | H. Gunnlaugsson |
Breidablik vs Keflavik overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Breidablik vs Keflavik
| Probability | Breidablik | Draw | Keflavik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 24.1% | 33.5% |
| Market | 49.6% | 23.0% | 27.4% |
| Final | 47.8% | 23.2% | 29.0% |
| Edge | -1.8% | +0.3% | +1.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Breidablik and Keflavik expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.47
Breidablik and Keflavik attack and defence ratings
Breidablik
Keflavik
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Breidablik vs Keflavik: result vs prediction
Breidablik 3 – 1 Keflavik
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Championship Group - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Breidablik vs Keflavik markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Breidablik | 47.8% | 2.09 | -1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Breidablik | 47.8% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Keflavik | 29.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.6% |
| No | 31.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Breidablik win | 23.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |
Breidablik vs Keflavik stats
Breidablik and Keflavik recent form
| Breidablik |
LWLLLD |
| Keflavik |
DLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Breidablik and Keflavik going into this match
Breidablik record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Keflavik record
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
Breidablik vs Keflavik head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Breidablik | Keflavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Keflavik | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-25 | Keflavik | Breidablik | Cup | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-07 | Breidablik | Keflavik | League Cup | 4-0 |
| 2023-08-20 | Breidablik | Keflavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-29 | Keflavik | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild | 0-0 |
| 2022-07-17 | Keflavik | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-3 |
| 2022-04-19 | Breidablik | Keflavik | Úrvalsdeild | 4-1 |
| 2022-01-08 | Breidablik | Keflavik | Fotbolti.net Cup A | 5-2 |
| 2021-07-25 | Keflavik | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Breidablik vs Keflavik odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.6%, draw 23.0%, away 27.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 4.05 | 3.49 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.95 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 4.20 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 1.90 | 4.00 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 4.05 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 4.26 | 3.51 |
| SBO | 1.88 | 3.72 | 3.05 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.80 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .