Vikingur Reykjavik
vs
IA Akranes
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vikingur Reykjavik
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes
| Probability | Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | IA Akranes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.7% | 20.3% | 27.0% |
| Market | 63.0% | 18.9% | 18.1% |
| Final | 60.4% | 19.2% | 20.3% |
| Edge | -10.3% | +1.4% | +8.9% |
Why Vikingur Reykjavik
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 1.78.
Best available price on the pick: 1.53, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes match preview
Vikingur Reykjavik is favored to win their upcoming match against IA Akranes, with a 65% probability of victory. The expected goals indicate a strong performance from Vikingur, projected at 2.47 compared to IA Akranes' 1.78. Recent form shows Vikingur with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while IA Akranes has three wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period.
In their last four encounters, Vikingur Reykjavik has dominated, securing three wins and one draw against IA Akranes, who have yet to claim a victory in this matchup. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 80%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 77%, suggesting an engaging contest with potential for multiple goals.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vikingur Reykjavik and IA Akranes expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.25
Vikingur Reykjavik and IA Akranes attack and defence ratings
Vikingur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Championship Group - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 60.4% | 1.66 | -10.3% | 1.53 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 60.4% |
| Draw | 19.2% | |
| IA Akranes | 20.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.7% |
| No | 23.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vikingur Reykjavik win | 33.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 47.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.7% |
| 1-1 | 6.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes stats
Vikingur Reykjavik and IA Akranes recent form
| Vikingur Reykjavik |
WWDDLW |
| IA Akranes |
WLWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vikingur Reykjavik and IA Akranes season so far
Vikingur Reykjavik record
- They have won 17 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 13 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IA Akranes record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | IA Akranes | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-2 |
| 2026-04-27 | Vikingur Reykjavik | IA Akranes | Úrvalsdeild | 4-0 |
| 2025-08-17 | IA Akranes | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-24 | Vikingur Reykjavik | IA Akranes | Úrvalsdeild | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.0%, draw 18.9%, away 18.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 5.10 | 5.45 |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 4.50 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.50 | 4.80 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 5.10 | 5.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46 | 5.13 | 5.13 |
| SBO | 1.41 | 4.46 | 4.65 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.60 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .