Fram Reykjavik
vs
IA Akranes
Garuda Lions Prediction: Fram Reykjavik
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes
| Probability | Fram Reykjavik | Draw | IA Akranes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.1% | 20.2% | 34.6% |
| Market | 51.1% | 22.3% | 26.5% |
| Final | 49.6% | 21.8% | 28.6% |
| Edge | -6.0% | -2.1% | +8.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.87, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes match preview
Fram Reykjavik faces IA Akranes in a match where the model gives Fram a 45% chance of winning, while IA Akranes has a 35% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Fram, with an 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and an 81% likelihood that both teams will score. Expected goals are calculated at 2.42 for Fram and 2.13 for Akranes.
In terms of recent form, Fram Reykjavik has recorded one win and four draws in their last six matches, while IA Akranes has two wins and four draws in the same period. The head-to-head record over the last four encounters shows Fram with two wins, one draw, and Akranes with one win. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fram Reykjavik and IA Akranes expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.55
Fram Reykjavik and IA Akranes attack and defence ratings
Fram Reykjavik
IA Akranes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Championship Group - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fram Reykjavik | 49.6% | 2.02 | -6.0% | 1.87 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fram Reykjavik | 49.6% |
| Draw | 21.8% | |
| IA Akranes | 28.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.8% |
| No | 19.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fram Reykjavik win | 27.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 54.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.0% |
| 2-1 | 6.6% | |
| 1-1 | 6.0% |
Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes stats
Fram Reykjavik and IA Akranes recent form
| Fram Reykjavik |
LDLDDW |
| IA Akranes |
DWLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fram Reykjavik and IA Akranes season so far
Fram Reykjavik record
- They have won 13 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IA Akranes record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | IA Akranes | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Fram Reykjavik | IA Akranes | Úrvalsdeild | 3-3 |
| 2025-07-05 | IA Akranes | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Fram Reykjavik | IA Akranes | Úrvalsdeild | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.6%, draw 22.2%, away 27.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 4.00 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 4.05 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.20 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 1.86 | 4.10 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 4.19 | 3.51 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .