Vikingur Reykjavik
vs
Fram Reykjavik
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vikingur Reykjavik
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.60 vs 1.63.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Vikingur Reykjavik is the favourite, not a value bet.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik
| Probability | Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | Fram Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.0% | 19.4% | 22.6% |
| Market | 62.8% | 19.1% | 18.1% |
| Final | 61.6% | 19.2% | 19.2% |
| Edge | -1.2% | +0.1% | +1.1% |
Why Vikingur Reykjavik
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.60 vs 1.63.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.52, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.3% per unit staked (our 61.6% × 1.52 − 1).
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik match preview
Vikingur Reykjavik enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 62%, reflecting their recent form of W-D-W-W-D-D. They are expected to score an average of 2.60 goals, with the most likely scoreline predicted to be 2-1, occurring at an 8% probability. Their head-to-head record against Fram Reykjavik is also impressive, with 7 wins and 3 draws in the last 10 encounters.
In contrast, Fram Reykjavik struggles with a recent form of L-L-D-L-D-D, contributing to their 20% win probability. They are expected to score an average of 1.63 goals, and there is a 75% chance that both teams will score in this matchup. With a confidence grade of C, the match promises to be competitive, but Vikingur Reykjavik appears to hold the upper hand.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vikingur Reykjavik and Fram Reykjavik expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.23
Vikingur Reykjavik and Fram Reykjavik attack and defence ratings
Vikingur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Championship Group - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 61.6% | 1.62 | -1.2% | 1.52 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 61.6% |
| Draw | 19.2% | |
| Fram Reykjavik | 19.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.0% |
| No | 25.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vikingur Reykjavik win | 38.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 42.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.0% |
| 3-1 | 6.9% | |
| 1-1 | 6.8% |
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik stats
Vikingur Reykjavik and Fram Reykjavik recent form
| Vikingur Reykjavik |
WDWWDD |
| Fram Reykjavik |
LLDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vikingur Reykjavik and Fram Reykjavik season so far
Vikingur Reykjavik record
- They have won 19 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 13 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fram Reykjavik record
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-2 |
| 2026-06-21 | Fram Reykjavik | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 0-5 |
| 2026-04-04 | Fram Reykjavik | Vikingur Reykjavik | Cup | 2-4 |
| 2026-01-24 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik | Reykjavik Cup | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-27 | Fram Reykjavik | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-05 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 3-2 |
| 2024-06-30 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-15 | Fram Reykjavik | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 0-1 |
| 2023-09-03 | Fram Reykjavik | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.7%, draw 19.2%, away 18.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.52 | 4.65 | 4.90 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.75 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.49 | 4.90 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 5.00 | 5.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 5.02 | 5.39 |
| SBO | 1.43 | 4.42 | 4.49 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .