Garuda Lions
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Úrvalsdeild · Full time ·Championship Group - 4

Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik

1 – 2 Full time

Breidablik 26%
Draw 21%
Vikingur Reykjavik 53%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBreidablikDrawVikingur Reykjavik
Model37.4%23.0%39.6%
Market21.7%20.3%58.0%
Final25.6%21.0%53.4%
Edge+15.8%+2.6%-18.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Breidablik ↓ / Vikingur Reykj → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 5% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Breidablik and Vikingur Reykjavik expected goals

Breidablik 1.86
Vikingur Reykjavik 1.91

Total expected goals: 3.78

Breidablik and Vikingur Reykjavik attack and defence ratings

Breidablik

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Vikingur Reykjavik

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik: result vs prediction

Breidablik 1 – 2 Vikingur Reykjavik

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Championship Group - 4 fixtures

Úrvalsdeild

Before and after this match

Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vikingur Reykjavik 53.4% 1.87 -18.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.8% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.9% 1.37 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.0% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.5% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Breidablik25.6%
Draw21.0%
Vikingur Reykjavik53.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.8%
Under 2.527.2%
Both teams to scoreYes72.9%
No27.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)46.6%
12 (either side)79.0%
X2 (draw or away)74.4%
Handicap -1Vikingur Reykjavik win21.8%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss60.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.0%
1-27.8%
2-17.6%

Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik stats

Breidablik and Vikingur Reykjavik recent form

newest first
Breidablik WLWLLL
Vikingur Reykjavik DWWDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Breidablik and Vikingur Reykjavik going into this match

league record before kick-off

Breidablik record

  • They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vikingur Reykjavik record

  • They have won 18 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 13 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Breidablik wins 3Draws 3Vikingur Reykjavik wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-28BreidablikVikingur ReykjavikCup3-0
2026-06-25BreidablikVikingur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild1-4
2026-04-10Vikingur ReykjavikBreidablikÚrvalsdeild1-1
2025-10-18BreidablikVikingur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild1-2
2025-08-31Vikingur ReykjavikBreidablikÚrvalsdeild2-2
2025-06-01BreidablikVikingur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild3-1
2024-10-27Vikingur ReykjavikBreidablikÚrvalsdeild0-3
2024-05-30BreidablikVikingur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild1-1
2024-04-21Vikingur ReykjavikBreidablikÚrvalsdeild4-1
2023-09-25BreidablikVikingur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.5%, draw 20.1%, away 58.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.32 4.55 1.59
Bet365 4.10 4.10 1.57
BetVictor 3.80 3.70 1.50
Betano 4.20 4.70 1.60
Betfair 4.33 4.60 1.53
Dafabet 4.30 4.70 1.59
Marathonbet 4.35 4.55 1.57
Pinnacle 4.31 5.03 1.60
SBO 3.94 4.16 1.53
William Hill 4.00 4.40 1.57

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.21 ▼ -0.06
X 4.47 ▲ +0.12
2 1.57 ▼ -0.01

10 snapshots recorded, from .