Fram Reykjavik
vs
KR Reykjavik
Garuda Lions Prediction: Fram Reykjavik
3 – 2 Predicted score · 5% model probability
Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik
| Probability | Fram Reykjavik | Draw | KR Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.8% | 18.6% | 41.6% |
| Market | 40.8% | 21.4% | 37.9% |
| Final | 40.5% | 20.7% | 38.8% |
| Edge | -1.0% | -2.8% | +3.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.35, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik match preview
Fram Reykjavik hosts KR Reykjavik in an intriguing Úrvalsdeild clash on October 10, 2026. The match is expected to be competitive, with Fram Reykjavik holding a 41% probability of victory, while KR Reykjavik is close behind at 39%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 21%. Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games, with a 90% chance of over 2.5 goals and an 86% probability that both teams will score. The expected goals are closely matched, with Fram Reykjavik at 2.60 and KR Reykjavik at 2.66.
Recent form indicates a mixed bag for both sides; Fram Reykjavik has recorded two wins and three draws in their last five matches, while KR Reykjavik has two wins, two draws, and one loss in the same span. In their last four encounters, Fram Reykjavik has secured one win, while KR Reykjavik has two victories and one draw, highlighting a competitive rivalry.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fram Reykjavik and KR Reykjavik expected goals
Total expected goals: 5.26
Fram Reykjavik and KR Reykjavik attack and defence ratings
Fram Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Championship Group - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fram Reykjavik | 40.5% | 2.47 | -1.0% | 2.35 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fram Reykjavik | 40.5% |
| Draw | 20.7% | |
| KR Reykjavik | 38.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 89.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 10.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 86.4% |
| No | 13.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fram Reykjavik win | 24.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.5% | |
| Loss | 60.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 6.2% |
| 2-3 | 5.5% | |
| 3-2 | 5.4% |
Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik stats
Fram Reykjavik and KR Reykjavik recent form
| Fram Reykjavik |
DLDDWW |
| KR Reykjavik |
LWLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fram Reykjavik and KR Reykjavik season so far
Fram Reykjavik record
- They have won 13 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KR Reykjavik record
- They have won 14 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 3.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.6 goals per game at home against 3.0 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Fram Reykjavik | KR Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-5 |
| 2026-05-17 | KR Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-18 | Fram Reykjavik | KR Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-23 | KR Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-3 |
| 2024-09-29 | KR Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 7-1 |
| 2024-07-11 | Fram Reykjavik | KR Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-20 | KR Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 0-1 |
| 2024-01-12 | KR Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik | Reykjavik Cup | 4-2 |
| 2023-08-13 | KR Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 3-2 |
| 2023-05-22 | Fram Reykjavik | KR Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.8%, draw 21.4%, away 37.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.25 | 4.30 | 2.45 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 4.10 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 4.25 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 4.33 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.35 | 4.30 | 2.42 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 4.30 | 2.45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 4.47 | 2.52 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.94 | 2.23 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 4.00 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .