Garuda Lions
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Úrvalsdeild · Full time ·Championship Group - 3

Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik

1 – 2 Full time

7′A. Sigurdarson
20′T. Thorbjornsson
46′S. KarasonH. Sigurdsson
46′F. PalmasonA. Thordarson
55′G. Gudmundsson
57′A. Traustason
62′K. KonradssonV. Dimitrijevic
72′O. KjartanssonA. Albertsson
73′Fred Saraiva
81′K. Chopart
84′M. Akoto
90′A. Albertsson
90′H. Asgrimsson
90′G. Eyjolfsson

Referee: I. O. Kristjansson

Fram Reykjavik 42%
Draw 20%
KR Reykjavik 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFram ReykjavikDrawKR Reykjavik
Model39.4%18.6%42.1%
Market43.1%20.8%36.1%
Final42.1%20.3%37.6%
Edge-0.9%-0.6%+1.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Fram Reykjavik ↓ / KR Reykjavik → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 4% 5% 4% 5% 2 5% 6% 6% 7% 3 4% 5% 5% 6% 4+ 5% 6% 6% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 97%
3+ goals 90%
No goals 1%

Fram Reykjavik and KR Reykjavik expected goals

Fram Reykjavik 2.59
KR Reykjavik 2.67

Total expected goals: 5.26

Fram Reykjavik and KR Reykjavik attack and defence ratings

Fram Reykjavik

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.14 +14%

KR Reykjavik

Attack 1.49 +49%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik: result vs prediction

Fram Reykjavik 1 – 2 KR Reykjavik

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Championship Group - 3 fixtures

Úrvalsdeild

Before and after this match

Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fram Reykjavik 42.1% 2.37 -0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 89.5% 1.12 — —
Both teams to score Yes 86.4% 1.16 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.7% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.6% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Fram Reykjavik42.1%
Draw20.3%
KR Reykjavik37.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.589.5%
Under 2.510.5%
Both teams to scoreYes86.4%
No13.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.4%
12 (either side)79.7%
X2 (draw or away)57.9%
Handicap -1Fram Reykjavik win23.9%
Push (exactly one goal)15.5%
Loss60.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-26.2%
2-35.5%
3-25.4%

Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik stats

Fram Reykjavik and KR Reykjavik recent form

newest first
Fram Reykjavik DLDDWW
KR Reykjavik LWLDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Fram Reykjavik and KR Reykjavik going into this match

league record before kick-off

Fram Reykjavik record

  • They have won 13 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KR Reykjavik record

  • They have won 14 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 3.3 goals per match.
  • They average 3.6 goals per game at home against 3.0 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Fram Reykjavik wins 1Draws 6KR Reykjavik wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-10Fram ReykjavikKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild2-5
2026-05-17KR ReykjavikFram ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild2-2
2025-08-18Fram ReykjavikKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild0-1
2025-05-23KR ReykjavikFram ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild2-3
2024-09-29KR ReykjavikFram ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild7-1
2024-07-11Fram ReykjavikKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild1-0
2024-04-20KR ReykjavikFram ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild0-1
2024-01-12KR ReykjavikFram ReykjavikReykjavik Cup4-2
2023-08-13KR ReykjavikFram ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild3-2
2023-05-22Fram ReykjavikKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.1%, draw 20.8%, away 36.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.16 4.45 2.52
Bet365 2.05 4.33 2.55
BetVictor 1.95 3.90 2.30
Betano 2.18 4.35 2.57
Betfair 2.10 4.40 2.50
Dafabet 2.15 4.50 2.60
Marathonbet 2.16 4.45 2.52
Pinnacle 2.13 4.85 2.67
SBO 2.03 4.21 2.52
William Hill 2.10 4.20 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.12 ▼ -0.11
X 4.38 ▲ +0.08
2 2.52 ▲ +0.07

8 snapshots recorded, from .