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Úrvalsdeild · Full time ·Matchday 22

IA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik

3 – 1 Full time

24′V. Jonsson
41′H. Tomasson
46′H. GeorgssonS. Ingolfsson
46′M. AkotoL. Rae
53′V. Jonsson
59′A. TraustasonS. Karason
62′A. Thordarson
72′S. EllertssonG. Thorarinsson
77′M. P. EllertssonS. Thorsteinsson
77′G. UnnarssonO. Stefansson
77′E. SaebjornssonM. Kjartansson
77′G. GudmundssonF. Heimisson
83′V. Jonsson
88′H. HaraldssonR. Sigurjonsson

Referee: J. I. Jonsson

IA Akranes 31%
Draw 21%
KR Reykjavik 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

IA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik overview

Garuda Lions analysis: IA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIA AkranesDrawKR Reykjavik
Model40.8%19.1%40.1%
Market28.3%21.0%50.7%
Final31.4%20.5%48.1%
Edge+12.5%-1.9%-10.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

IA Akranes ↓ / KR Reykjavik → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 5% 4% 5% 2 5% 7% 5% 6% 3 4% 6% 5% 5% 4+ 5% 6% 5% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 88%
No goals 1%

IA Akranes and KR Reykjavik expected goals

IA Akranes 2.53
KR Reykjavik 2.51

Total expected goals: 5.03

IA Akranes and KR Reykjavik attack and defence ratings

IA Akranes

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.98 -2%

KR Reykjavik

Attack 1.61 +61%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

IA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik: result vs prediction

IA Akranes 3 – 1 KR Reykjavik

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Úrvalsdeild

Before and after this match

IA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 KR Reykjavik 48.1% 2.08 -10.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 87.8% 1.14 — —
Both teams to score Yes 84.9% 1.18 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.5% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.9% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2IA Akranes31.4%
Draw20.5%
KR Reykjavik48.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.587.8%
Under 2.512.2%
Both teams to scoreYes84.9%
No15.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)51.9%
12 (either side)79.5%
X2 (draw or away)68.6%
Handicap -1KR Reykjavik win24.2%
Push (exactly one goal)15.9%
Loss59.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-26.5%
3-25.5%
2-35.5%

IA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik stats

IA Akranes and KR Reykjavik recent form

newest first
IA Akranes DDWWDW
KR Reykjavik DWDWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

IA Akranes and KR Reykjavik going into this match

league record before kick-off

IA Akranes record

  • They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KR Reykjavik record

  • They have won 13 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 3.5 goals per match.
  • They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 3.2 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3IA Akranes wins 2Draws 5KR Reykjavik wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-22KR ReykjavikIA AkranesÚrvalsdeild5-3
2025-09-27IA AkranesKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild3-2
2025-07-14IA AkranesKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild1-0
2025-04-27KR ReykjavikIA AkranesÚrvalsdeild5-0
2024-09-01KR ReykjavikIA AkranesÚrvalsdeild4-2
2024-06-18IA AkranesKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild2-1
2023-03-08KR ReykjavikIA AkranesLeague Cup3-1
2022-09-04IA AkranesKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild4-4
2022-06-15KR ReykjavikIA AkranesÚrvalsdeild3-3
2021-08-25IA AkranesKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

IA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.2%, draw 21.2%, away 50.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.36 4.50 1.81
Bet365 3.10 4.20 1.80
BetVictor 2.88 3.80 1.70
Betano 3.20 4.30 1.87
Betfair 3.25 4.33 1.80
Dafabet 3.25 4.30 1.85
Marathonbet 3.36 4.50 1.79
Pinnacle 3.36 4.72 1.84
Unibet 3.05 4.20 1.80
William Hill 3.10 4.00 1.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.23 ▲ +0.13
X 4.35 ▲ +0.02
2 1.80 ▼ -0.08

10 snapshots recorded, from .