Úrvalsdeild · Full time ·Matchday 22

Thor Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur

1 – 0 Full time

38′B. Helgason
52′T. Robertsson
59′T. Ingolfsson
65′B. Jonsson
67′T. RobertssonA. Gudmundsson
67′B. JonssonR. Saevarsson
75′T. IngolfssonA. Sigurjonsson
75′S. GunnarssonF. Gislason
75′G. GislasonB. Thorsson
83′K. KristjanssonS. Ingason
86′G. TryggvasonB. Andersen
86′E. AgnarssonK. Finnbogason
87′G. Gunnarsson
89′E. HalldorssonA. Magnusson
90′K. Finnbogason

Thorsvollur, AkureyriReferee: P. Gudmundsson

Thor Akureyri 30%
Draw 26%
FH hafnarfjordur 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Thor Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Thor Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityThor AkureyriDrawFH hafnarfjordur
Model28.5%30.4%41.1%
Market30.4%25.1%44.5%
Final29.9%26.4%43.7%
Edge-1.9%+5.3%-3.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Thor Akureyri ↓ / FH hafnarfjord → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 11% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Thor Akureyri and FH hafnarfjordur expected goals

Thor Akureyri 1.04
FH hafnarfjordur 1.30

Total expected goals: 2.34

Thor Akureyri and FH hafnarfjordur attack and defence ratings

Thor Akureyri

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 1.10 +10%

FH hafnarfjordur

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Thor Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur: result vs prediction

Thor Akureyri 1 – 0 FH hafnarfjordur

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Úrvalsdeild

Before and after this match

Thor Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FH hafnarfjordur 43.7% 2.29 -3.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.6% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 51.7% 1.93 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.9% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Thor Akureyri29.9%
Draw26.4%
FH hafnarfjordur43.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.4%
Under 2.558.6%
Both teams to scoreYes48.3%
No51.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.3%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)70.1%
Handicap -1FH hafnarfjordur win19.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss58.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-111.2%
0-011.0%

Thor Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur stats

Thor Akureyri and FH hafnarfjordur recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Thor Akureyri and FH hafnarfjordur going into this match

league record before kick-off

Thor Akureyri record

  • They have won 5 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FH hafnarfjordur record

  • They have won 4 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.

Thor Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Thor Akureyri wins 2Draws 3FH hafnarfjordur wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-21FH hafnarfjordurThor AkureyriÚrvalsdeild1-1
2026-04-04Thor AkureyriFH hafnarfjordurCup2-4
2025-03-11Thor AkureyriFH hafnarfjordurLeague Cup2-2
2021-03-06FH hafnarfjordurThor AkureyriLeague Cup4-0
2020-07-30FH hafnarfjordurThor AkureyriCup3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Thor Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.2%, draw 25.0%, away 44.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.14 3.65 2.08
Bet365 2.88 3.70 2.00
BetVictor 2.70 3.30 1.90
Betano 3.05 3.70 2.07
Betfair 2.90 3.80 2.00
Dafabet 3.05 3.70 2.06
Marathonbet 3.12 3.65 2.06
Pinnacle 3.18 3.84 2.10
Unibet 3.05 3.65 1.95
William Hill 2.90 3.40 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.01 ▼ -0.08
X 3.65 ▼ -0.08
2 2.05 —

13 snapshots recorded, from .