Valur Reykjavik
vs
Thor Akureyri
4 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | S. Gunnarsson | ||
| 20′ | P. Pedersen | ||
| 27′ | D. Gardarson | ||
| 52′ | G. Gudbrandsson | ||
| 54′ | S. Gunnarsson | ||
| 55′ | P. Pedersen | ||
| 62′ | V. OttossonB. Brynjolfsson | ||
| 62′ | K. VazquezR. Ragnarsson | ||
| 71′ | A. HlynssonV. Bertomeu | ||
| 71′ | S. GunnarssonA. Sigurjonsson | ||
| 75′ | P. PedersenS. Veseli | ||
| 76′ | Y. AffiA. Magnusson | ||
| 82′ | M. Veldman | ||
| 87′ | I. Stole | ||
| 90′ | D. GardarsonP. Eiriksson | ||
| 90′ | L. HeimissonG. Wehmeier |
Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri
| Probability | Valur Reykjavik | Draw | Thor Akureyri |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.4% | 25.1% | 25.5% |
| Market | 58.9% | 20.7% | 20.4% |
| Final | 56.6% | 21.8% | 21.6% |
| Edge | -9.5% | +4.4% | +5.1% |
Why Valur Reykjavik
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.26.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Valur Reykjavik and Thor Akureyri expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.08
Valur Reykjavik and Thor Akureyri attack and defence ratings
Valur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri: result vs prediction
Valur Reykjavik 4 – 1 Thor Akureyri
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Relegation Group - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valur Reykjavik | 56.6% | 1.77 | -9.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valur Reykjavik | 56.6% |
| Draw | 21.8% | |
| Thor Akureyri | 21.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% |
| No | 38.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Valur Reykjavik win | 28.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 50.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.6% |
Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri stats
Valur Reykjavik and Thor Akureyri recent form
| Valur Reykjavik |
WDLDLW |
| Thor Akureyri |
WWLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Valur Reykjavik and Thor Akureyri going into this match
Valur Reykjavik record
- They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Thor Akureyri record
- They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Thor Akureyri | Valur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-4 |
| 2026-04-12 | Valur Reykjavik | Thor Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-10 | Thor Akureyri | Valur Reykjavik | League Cup | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.0%, draw 20.7%, away 20.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 4.70 | 4.74 |
| 888Sport | 1.53 | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.55 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.57 | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 4.70 | 4.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 4.94 | 4.67 |
| SBO | 1.52 | 4.13 | 4.07 |
| Unibet | 1.47 | 4.35 | 4.90 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.33 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .