Úrvalsdeild
·
Full time
·Relegation Group - 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
vs
Valur Reykjavik
1 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | F. FridrikssonS. Kristjansson | ||
| 35′ | S. Veseli | ||
| 46′ | A. VokesS. Hardarson | ||
| 59′ | S. VeseliP. Pedersen | ||
| 67′ | M. Veldman | ||
| 68′ | R. Hlynsson | ||
| 70′ | H. Thordarson | ||
| 70′ | V. Valor | ||
| 79′ | S. Fridjonsson | ||
| 80′ | M. Edeland | ||
| 81′ | H. ThordarsonL. Jeffs | ||
| 81′ | R. HlynssonM. Tomic | ||
| 82′ | A. Hilmarsson | ||
| 90′ | K. Arnarsson |
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
40%
Draw
24%
Valur Reykjavik
35%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik
| Probability | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Draw | Valur Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.6% | 25.0% | 36.4% |
| Market | 40.9% | 24.2% | 34.8% |
| Final | 40.3% | 24.4% | 35.2% |
| Edge | -2.4% | +0.8% | +1.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
64%
No goals
5%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Valur Reykjavik expected goals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.67
Valur Reykjavik
1.62
Total expected goals: 3.30
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Valur Reykjavik attack and defence ratings
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Attack
0.75 -25%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Valur Reykjavik
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik: result vs prediction
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 – 1 Valur Reykjavik
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Relegation Group - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 40.3% | 2.48 | -2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 40.3% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Valur Reykjavik | 35.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% |
| No | 33.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar win | 20.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 61.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik stats
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Valur Reykjavik recent form
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
LDLLLD |
| Valur Reykjavik |
WWDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Valur Reykjavik going into this match
IBV Vestmannaeyjar record
- They have won 4 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Valur Reykjavik record
- They have won 9 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3IBV Vestmannaeyjar wins
0Draws
7Valur Reykjavik wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Valur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Valur Reykjavik | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-17 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Valur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 4-1 |
| 2025-06-19 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Valur Reykjavik | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-24 | Valur Reykjavik | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild | 3-0 |
| 2024-02-10 | Valur Reykjavik | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | League Cup | 7-1 |
| 2023-06-24 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Valur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 0-3 |
| 2023-04-10 | Valur Reykjavik | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild | 2-1 |
| 2022-07-17 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Valur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 3-2 |
| 2022-04-19 | Valur Reykjavik | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.9%, draw 24.2%, away 34.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.84 | 2.66 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.70 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.40 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.75 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.90 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 3.84 | 2.64 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32 | 3.97 | 2.72 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.54 | 2.61 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.22 ▲ +0.02
X
3.75 ▼ -0.15
2
2.61 ▼ -0.12
13 snapshots recorded, from .