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Úrvalsdeild · Full time ·Relegation Group - 3

Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

1 – 0 Full time

26′M. Tomic
30′C. Jakobsen
35′E. Halldorsson
41′B. Gunnarsson
43′A. VokesS. Hardarson
45′F. Fridriksson
46′R. HlynssonO. Sowe
48′S. Magnusson
53′M. Edeland
59′B. GunnarssonH. Thordarson
59′F. FridrikssonS. Kristjansson
76′B. BrynjolfssonF. Gislason
78′M. TomicE. Runarsson
79′E. Runarsson
81′C. JakobsenV. Bertomeu
81′T. IngolfssonA. Sigurjonsson
88′S. IngasonB. Hlynsson
88′A. HlynssonR. Ragnarsson

Thorsvollur, AkureyriReferee: V. Thorarinsson

Thor Akureyri 34%
Draw 27%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityThor AkureyriDrawIBV Vestmannaeyjar
Model34.8%29.8%35.4%
Market33.2%26.4%40.4%
Final33.6%27.2%39.2%
Edge+0.4%+0.9%-1.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Thor Akureyri ↓ / IBV Vestmannae → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Thor Akureyri and IBV Vestmannaeyjar expected goals

Thor Akureyri 1.23
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1.24

Total expected goals: 2.46

Thor Akureyri and IBV Vestmannaeyjar attack and defence ratings

Thor Akureyri

Attack 0.64 -36%
Defence 1.16 +16%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar: result vs prediction

Thor Akureyri 1 – 0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Relegation Group - 3 fixtures

Úrvalsdeild

Before and after this match

Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 39.2% 2.55 -1.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.4% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.4% 1.94 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.6% 1.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Thor Akureyri33.6%
Draw27.2%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar39.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.6%
Under 2.555.4%
Both teams to scoreYes51.4%
No48.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.8%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)66.4%
Handicap -1IBV Vestmannaeyjar win15.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss64.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-09.8%
0-19.3%

Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar stats

Thor Akureyri and IBV Vestmannaeyjar recent form

newest first
Thor Akureyri LLWWLL
IBV Vestmannaeyjar DLDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Thor Akureyri and IBV Vestmannaeyjar going into this match

league record before kick-off

Thor Akureyri record

  • They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar record

  • They have won 4 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Thor Akureyri wins 3Draws 4IBV Vestmannaeyjar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-29IBV VestmannaeyjarThor AkureyriÚrvalsdeild0-1
2026-06-14Thor AkureyriIBV VestmannaeyjarÚrvalsdeild1-4
2024-07-27Thor AkureyriIBV Vestmannaeyjar1. Deild0-3
2024-05-20IBV VestmannaeyjarThor Akureyri1. Deild1-1
2021-08-31Thor AkureyriIBV Vestmannaeyjar1. Deild0-1
2021-06-14IBV VestmannaeyjarThor Akureyri1. Deild2-1
2020-09-21IBV VestmannaeyjarThor Akureyri1. Deild2-2
2020-07-18Thor AkureyriIBV Vestmannaeyjar1. Deild1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.2%, draw 26.4%, away 40.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.87 3.42 2.28
Bet365 2.60 3.50 2.20
BetVictor 2.50 3.13 2.10
Betano 2.80 3.45 2.30
Betfair 2.63 3.60 2.20
Dafabet 2.80 3.50 2.33
Marathonbet 2.84 3.48 2.24
Pinnacle 2.95 3.61 2.31
SBO 2.57 3.32 2.27
William Hill 2.70 3.30 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.75 ▼ -0.03
X 3.46 ▼ -0.02
2 2.26 ▼ -0.03

13 snapshots recorded, from .