Thor Akureyri
vs
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Garuda Lions Prediction: IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
| Probability | Thor Akureyri | Draw | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.8% | 29.8% | 35.4% |
| Market | 33.6% | 26.3% | 40.2% |
| Final | 33.9% | 27.2% | 39.0% |
| Edge | +1.2% | +3.5% | -4.8% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.37, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar match preview
In the upcoming match between Thor Akureyri and IBV Vestmannaeyjar, both teams have an equal probability of winning at 35%, with a 30% chance of a draw. The expected goals are closely matched, with Thor Akureyri at 1.23 and IBV Vestmannaeyjar at 1.24, indicating a competitive encounter. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 9% probability.
Recent form shows Thor Akureyri with two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while IBV Vestmannaeyjar has struggled, recording one draw and five losses in the same period. Historically, in their last eight encounters, Thor Akureyri has secured one win, while IBV Vestmannaeyjar has achieved four victories and three draws. The likelihood of both teams scoring stands at 51%, and there is a 45% chance of more than 2.5 goals being scored.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Thor Akureyri and IBV Vestmannaeyjar expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.46
Thor Akureyri and IBV Vestmannaeyjar attack and defence ratings
Thor Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Relegation Group - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 39.0% | 2.57 | -4.8% | 2.37 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Thor Akureyri | 33.9% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 39.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% |
| No | 48.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 64.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.8% | |
| 0-1 | 9.3% |
Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar stats
Thor Akureyri and IBV Vestmannaeyjar recent form
| Thor Akureyri |
LLWWLL |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
DLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Thor Akureyri and IBV Vestmannaeyjar season so far
Thor Akureyri record
- They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar record
- They have won 4 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Thor Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 0-1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Thor Akureyri | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild | 1-4 |
| 2024-07-27 | Thor Akureyri | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1. Deild | 0-3 |
| 2024-05-20 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Thor Akureyri | 1. Deild | 1-1 |
| 2021-08-31 | Thor Akureyri | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1. Deild | 0-1 |
| 2021-06-14 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Thor Akureyri | 1. Deild | 2-1 |
| 2020-09-21 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Thor Akureyri | 1. Deild | 2-2 |
| 2020-07-18 | Thor Akureyri | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1. Deild | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.6%, draw 26.3%, away 40.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.82 | 3.46 | 2.29 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 3.45 | 2.37 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.55 | 2.36 |
| Marathonbet | 2.80 | 3.46 | 2.27 |
| Pinnacle | 2.89 | 3.59 | 2.26 |
| SBO | 2.46 | 3.28 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .