KA Akureyri
vs
Thor Akureyri
3 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | J. Pedersen | ||
| 24′ | K. Vazquez | ||
| 37′ | H. Gudmundsson | ||
| 45′ | Y. Affi | ||
| 46′ | J. PedersenJ. Robertsson | ||
| 52′ | C. Jakobsen | ||
| 54′ | K. Kristjansson | ||
| 59′ | T. IngolfssonB. Brynjolfsson | ||
| 66′ | J. Arnason | ||
| 72′ | B. Baldvinsson | ||
| 74′ | H. Steingrimsson | ||
| 77′ | J. Arnason | ||
| 80′ | K. VazquezP. Helgason | ||
| 80′ | K. KristjanssonR. Ragnarsson | ||
| 80′ | A. HlynssonF. Gislason | ||
| 83′ | A. Palsson | ||
| 84′ | C. JakobsenA. Magnusson | ||
| 85′ | B. Baldvinsson | ||
| 86′ | B. Brynjolfsson | ||
| 87′ | A. PalssonB. Helgason | ||
| 87′ | M. ThordarsonS. Kristinsson | ||
| 89′ | G. HrafnkelssonK. Gautason | ||
| 89′ | H. SteingrimssonD. Djuric | ||
| 90′ | E. Halldorsson | ||
| 90′ | D. Djuric | ||
| 90′ | V. Ottosson |
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri
| Probability | KA Akureyri | Draw | Thor Akureyri |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.6% | 22.7% | 25.7% |
| Market | 50.1% | 23.8% | 26.1% |
| Final | 50.5% | 23.5% | 26.0% |
| Edge | +1.5% | -1.0% | -0.5% |
Why KA Akureyri
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.46.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
KA Akureyri and Thor Akureyri expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.56
KA Akureyri and Thor Akureyri attack and defence ratings
KA Akureyri
Thor Akureyri
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri: result vs prediction
KA Akureyri 3 – 0 Thor Akureyri
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Relegation Group - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KA Akureyri | 50.5% | 1.98 | +1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KA Akureyri | 50.5% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Thor Akureyri | 26.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.2% |
| No | 31.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | KA Akureyri win | 31.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 48.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 2-2 | 6.7% |
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri stats
KA Akureyri and Thor Akureyri recent form
| KA Akureyri |
LWDLDL |
| Thor Akureyri |
LWWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KA Akureyri and Thor Akureyri going into this match
KA Akureyri record
- They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Thor Akureyri record
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | KA Akureyri | Thor Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Thor Akureyri | KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 0-1 |
| 2023-03-02 | KA Akureyri | Thor Akureyri | League Cup | 1-0 |
| 2016-09-24 | Thor Akureyri | KA Akureyri | 1. Deild | 0-3 |
| 2016-07-16 | KA Akureyri | Thor Akureyri | 1. Deild | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.7%, draw 23.6%, away 26.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.92 | 3.59 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.75 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.40 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.85 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.92 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 4.05 | 3.69 |
| SBO | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| William Hill | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .