Úrvalsdeild · 2026-09-13T14:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Relegation Group - 1

FH hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri

3 – 0 Full time

17′			E. AgnarssonK. Finnbogason
27′			A. Birgisson
45′			B. Jonsson
52′			T. Robertsson
57′			A. Romer
58′			D. DjuricH. Steingrimsson
58′			J. PedersenJ. Robertsson
58′			A. PalssonJ. Arnason
63′			I. ThorhallssonS. Audunsson
64′			J. Bjarnason
71′			J. Robertsson
72′			A. BirgissonA. Jonsson
72′			G. GislasonA. Gudjohnsen
80′			M. ThordarsonH. Steingrimsson
83′			J. BjarnasonA. Gudmundsson
83′			O. StefanssonG. Gunnarsson
90′			H. Steingrimsson

KaplakrikiReferee: A. Stefansson

FH hafnarfjordur

47%

Draw

25%

KA Akureyri

28%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

FH hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FH hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	FH hafnarfjordur	Draw	KA Akureyri
Model	49.6%	25.6%	24.8%
Market	46.3%	24.1%	29.6%
Final	47.1%	24.5%	28.4%
Edge	+3.3%	+1.5%	-4.8%

Confidence: Low

Why FH hafnarfjordur

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.19.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices FH hafnarfjordur below the model: +3.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

81%

3+ goals

57%

No goals

FH hafnarfjordur and KA Akureyri expected goals

FH hafnarfjordur

1.76

KA Akureyri

1.19

Total expected goals: 2.96

FH hafnarfjordur and KA Akureyri attack and defence ratings

FH hafnarfjordur

Attack

0.68 -32%

Defence

0.75 -25%

KA Akureyri

Attack

1.02 +2%

Defence

1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FH hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri: result vs prediction

FH hafnarfjordur 3 – 0 KA Akureyri

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Relegation Group - 1 fixtures

Úrvalsdeild

Valur Reykjavik v Thor Akureyri — match page · 2026-09-13
Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar — team news & stats · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

FH hafnarfjordur, previous: Thor Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur prediction
FH hafnarfjordur, next: FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan: odds and pick
KA Akureyri, previous: KA Akureyri vs Breidablik prediction
KA Akureyri, next: KA Akureyri – Thor Akureyri, 2026-09-19

FH hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	FH hafnarfjordur	47.1%	2.12	+3.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.7%	1.76	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	58.8%	1.70	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	75.5%	1.32	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	50.4%	1.98	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	FH hafnarfjordur	47.1%
	Draw	24.5%
	KA Akureyri	28.4%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.7%
	Under 2.5	43.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	58.8%
	No	41.2%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	71.6%
	12 (either side)	75.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	52.9%
Handicap -1	FH hafnarfjordur win	27.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.8%
	Loss	50.4%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	12.0%
	2-1	9.6%
	2-0	8.1%

FH hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri stats

FH hafnarfjordur and KA Akureyri recent form

newest first

FH hafnarfjordur	LWDLWD
KA Akureyri	WDLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FH hafnarfjordur and KA Akureyri going into this match

league record before kick-off

FH hafnarfjordur record

They have won 4 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.

KA Akureyri record

They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FH hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4FH hafnarfjordur wins 1Draws 5KA Akureyri wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-08-09	KA Akureyri	FH hafnarfjordur	Úrvalsdeild	0-1
2026-05-17	FH hafnarfjordur	KA Akureyri	Úrvalsdeild	1-2
2025-07-13	FH hafnarfjordur	KA Akureyri	Úrvalsdeild	5-0
2025-04-27	KA Akureyri	FH hafnarfjordur	Úrvalsdeild	3-2
2024-07-08	FH hafnarfjordur	KA Akureyri	Úrvalsdeild	1-1
2024-04-13	KA Akureyri	FH hafnarfjordur	Úrvalsdeild	2-3
2023-08-30	FH hafnarfjordur	KA Akureyri	Úrvalsdeild	0-3
2023-05-03	KA Akureyri	FH hafnarfjordur	Úrvalsdeild	4-2
2022-09-01	FH hafnarfjordur	KA Akureyri	Cup	2-1
2022-08-07	FH hafnarfjordur	KA Akureyri	Úrvalsdeild	0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FH hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.1%, draw 24.1%, away 29.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.98	3.82	3.26
888Sport	2.00	3.50	2.90
Bet365	2.00	3.75	2.88
BetVictor	1.85	3.40	2.75
Betano	2.00	3.80	3.15
Betfair	1.95	4.00	2.88
Dafabet	2.01	3.90	3.05
Marathonbet	1.96	3.82	3.25
Pinnacle	2.11	3.92	3.11
SBO	2.00	3.57	2.70
Unibet	1.68	4.20	3.55
William Hill	1.95	3.50	3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.98 ▲ +0.17

X 3.80 ▼ -0.34

2 3.10 ▼ -0.42

9 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-09T08:10:01Z.