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Úrvalsdeild · Full time ·Relegation Group - 1

Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

2 – 0 Full time

14′O. SoweL. Jeffs
21′A. Kristinsson
28′B. Waren
30′G. Nokkvason
32′B. Waren
43′G. Kristjansson
65′B. IngasonI. Turay
73′V. ValgeirssonH. Thordarson
76′E. AtlasonA. Bjarnason
76′A. HaukssonS. T. Ingimarsson
80′A. Linta
85′A. VokesS. Kristjansson
85′B. WarenB. Bjornsson
85′A. KristinssonPisco
85′D. MatthiassonC. Alexandersson
88′E. Runarsson

Referee: H. M. Jonasson

Stjarnan 50%
Draw 23%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStjarnanDrawIBV Vestmannaeyjar
Model51.4%23.9%24.6%
Market49.2%22.8%28.0%
Final49.8%23.1%27.2%
Edge+2.2%+1.2%-3.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Stjarnan

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.31.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Stjarnan below the model: +2.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stjarnan ↓ / IBV Vestmannae → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 7% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Stjarnan and IBV Vestmannaeyjar expected goals

Stjarnan 1.95
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1.31

Total expected goals: 3.26

Stjarnan and IBV Vestmannaeyjar attack and defence ratings

Stjarnan

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.00 +0%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar: result vs prediction

Stjarnan 2 – 0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Relegation Group - 1 fixtures

Úrvalsdeild

Before and after this match

Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stjarnan 49.8% 2.01 +2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.3% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.6% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.9% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.6% 2.06 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stjarnan49.8%
Draw23.1%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar27.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.3%
Under 2.536.7%
Both teams to scoreYes63.6%
No36.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.8%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)50.2%
Handicap -1Stjarnan win30.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss48.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
2-19.6%
2-07.3%

Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar stats

Stjarnan and IBV Vestmannaeyjar recent form

newest first
Stjarnan DWWLWW
IBV Vestmannaeyjar DLLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stjarnan and IBV Vestmannaeyjar going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stjarnan record

  • They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar record

  • They have won 4 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Stjarnan wins 1Draws 4IBV Vestmannaeyjar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-06StjarnanIBV VestmannaeyjarÚrvalsdeild2-2
2026-06-21IBV VestmannaeyjarStjarnanÚrvalsdeild2-1
2025-07-14IBV VestmannaeyjarStjarnanÚrvalsdeild1-0
2025-04-28StjarnanIBV VestmannaeyjarÚrvalsdeild2-3
2025-02-08StjarnanIBV VestmannaeyjarLeague Cup3-2
2023-08-05IBV VestmannaeyjarStjarnanÚrvalsdeild0-2
2023-05-13StjarnanIBV VestmannaeyjarÚrvalsdeild4-0
2023-04-19StjarnanIBV VestmannaeyjarCup1-0
2022-08-28IBV VestmannaeyjarStjarnanÚrvalsdeild3-1
2022-05-29StjarnanIBV VestmannaeyjarÚrvalsdeild1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.9%, draw 22.9%, away 27.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.90 4.05 3.34
888Sport 1.67 3.90 3.90
Bet365 1.85 3.80 3.10
BetVictor 1.80 3.50 2.80
Betano 1.91 4.00 3.25
Betfair 1.80 4.20 3.25
Dafabet 1.69 4.30 3.85
Marathonbet 1.88 4.05 3.34
Pinnacle 1.85 4.29 3.60
SBO 1.64 3.93 3.52
Unibet 1.72 3.95 3.50
William Hill 1.91 3.75 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▲ +0.17
X 4.00 ▼ -0.30
2 3.25 ▼ -0.72

9 snapshots recorded, from .