Stjarnan
vs
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2 – 2 Full time
| 9′ | A. Vokes | ||
| 39′ | O. SoweR. Hlynsson | ||
| 50′ | D. Dankerlui | ||
| 57′ | A. HaukssonJ. Gunnarsson | ||
| 57′ | A. VilhjalmssonA. Bjarnason | ||
| 68′ | E. Runarsson | ||
| 70′ | A. Hilmarsson | ||
| 74′ | D. DankerluiD. Matthiasson | ||
| 77′ | D. Matthiasson | ||
| 79′ | A. Bjarnason | ||
| 80′ | A. VokesV. Valgeirsson | ||
| 80′ | B. GunnarssonS. Hardarson | ||
| 90′ | V. Valgeirsson | ||
| 90′ | R. Hlynsson |
Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
| Probability | Stjarnan | Draw | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.8% | 24.0% | 23.2% |
| Market | 52.6% | 22.5% | 24.8% |
| Final | 52.7% | 22.9% | 24.4% |
| Edge | +0.2% | +1.4% | -1.6% |
Why Stjarnan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.24.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stjarnan and IBV Vestmannaeyjar expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.19
Stjarnan and IBV Vestmannaeyjar attack and defence ratings
Stjarnan
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar: result vs prediction
Stjarnan 2 – 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stjarnan | 52.7% | 1.90 | +0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stjarnan | 52.7% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 24.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% |
| No | 38.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stjarnan win | 31.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 47.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.8% |
Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar stats
Stjarnan and IBV Vestmannaeyjar recent form
| Stjarnan |
WWLWWL |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
LLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stjarnan and IBV Vestmannaeyjar going into this match
Stjarnan record
- They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar record
- They have won 4 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-14 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-28 | Stjarnan | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild | 2-3 |
| 2025-02-08 | Stjarnan | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | League Cup | 3-2 |
| 2023-08-05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild | 0-2 |
| 2023-05-13 | Stjarnan | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild | 4-0 |
| 2023-04-19 | Stjarnan | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-28 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild | 3-1 |
| 2022-05-29 | Stjarnan | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild | 1-0 |
| 2022-01-15 | Stjarnan | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Fotbolti.net Cup A | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.5%, draw 22.2%, away 25.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 4.20 | 3.76 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.60 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 4.10 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.20 | 3.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.79 | 4.10 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 4.20 | 3.78 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77 | 4.34 | 3.87 |
| Unibet | 1.71 | 4.00 | 3.55 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.90 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .