Breidablik
vs
Stjarnan
0 – 2 Full time
| 29′ | G. Kristjansson | ||
| 40′ | B. Ingason | ||
| 46′ | O. OrvarssonD. Dankerlui | ||
| 49′ | E. Atlason | ||
| 58′ | O. EggertssonJ. Gunnarsson | ||
| 65′ | I. ArnasonV. Margeirsson | ||
| 65′ | A. LudvikssonG. Hallsson | ||
| 65′ | K. KristinssonJ. Arnarsson | ||
| 74′ | A. HaukssonI. Turay | ||
| 75′ | E. AtlasonA. Bjarnason | ||
| 81′ | A. OrrasonK. Steindorsson | ||
| 81′ | V. EinarssonA. Gunnleifsson | ||
| 84′ | B. WarenA. Leifsson | ||
| 90′ | D. Dankerlui | ||
| 90′ | G. Kjeldsen | ||
| 90′ | H. Karlsson | ||
| 90′ | K. Steindorsson |
Breidablik vs Stjarnan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Breidablik vs Stjarnan
| Probability | Breidablik | Draw | Stjarnan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.5% | 20.5% | 30.9% |
| Market | 46.7% | 22.9% | 30.5% |
| Final | 47.1% | 22.3% | 30.6% |
| Edge | +1.9% | -2.3% | +0.5% |
Why Breidablik
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.42 vs 1.94.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Breidablik and Stjarnan expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.36
Breidablik and Stjarnan attack and defence ratings
Breidablik
Stjarnan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Breidablik vs Stjarnan: result vs prediction
Breidablik 0 – 2 Stjarnan
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Breidablik vs Stjarnan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Breidablik | 47.1% | 2.12 | +1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Breidablik | 47.1% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Stjarnan | 30.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.6% |
| No | 21.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Breidablik win | 30.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 51.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.3% |
| 2-2 | 7.0% | |
| 1-1 | 6.6% |
Breidablik vs Stjarnan stats
Breidablik and Stjarnan recent form
| Breidablik |
LDLLWD |
| Stjarnan |
WLWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Breidablik and Stjarnan going into this match
Breidablik record
- They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stjarnan record
- They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
Breidablik vs Stjarnan head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Stjarnan | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild | 4-4 |
| 2025-10-26 | Stjarnan | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-3 |
| 2025-06-27 | Stjarnan | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild | 1-4 |
| 2025-04-23 | Breidablik | Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Breidablik | Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-11 | Stjarnan | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-21 | Breidablik | Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild | 2-1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Breidablik | Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild | 0-2 |
| 2023-07-29 | Breidablik | Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-04 | Stjarnan | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Breidablik vs Stjarnan odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 22.9%, away 30.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.91 | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 4.05 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.90 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 4.05 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 4.20 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 4.00 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 4.05 | 3.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 4.25 | 3.17 |
| SBO | 2.00 | 3.88 | 2.85 |
| Superbet | 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.05 |
| Unibet | 1.94 | 3.85 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.70 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .