Fram Reykjavik
vs
KA Akureyri
2 – 2 Full time
| 14′ | G. Hrafnkelsson | ||
| 18′ | J. ArnasonJ. Pedersen | ||
| 20′ | K. GautasonS. Kristinsson | ||
| 33′ | K. McLagan | ||
| 50′ | A. Palsson | ||
| 62′ | K. McLaganS. Tibbling | ||
| 62′ | T. ThorbjornssonI. Garcia | ||
| 65′ | V. SaevarssonD. Djuric | ||
| 70′ | S. Kristinsson | ||
| 78′ | R. HaukssonJ. Bystrom | ||
| 80′ | K. Konradsson | ||
| 81′ | A. PalssonD. Montiel | ||
| 83′ | M. Thordarson |
Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
| Probability | Fram Reykjavik | Draw | KA Akureyri |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.5% | 13.6% | 13.9% |
| Market | 60.3% | 19.6% | 20.1% |
| Final | 63.4% | 18.1% | 18.6% |
| Edge | +12.2% | -6.0% | -6.2% |
Why Fram Reykjavik
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.60 vs 1.70.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Fram Reykjavik below the model: +12.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fram Reykjavik and KA Akureyri expected goals
Total expected goals: 5.30
Fram Reykjavik and KA Akureyri attack and defence ratings
Fram Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri: result vs prediction
Fram Reykjavik 2 – 2 KA Akureyri
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fram Reykjavik | 63.4% | 1.58 | +12.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Fram Reykjavik win | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fram Reykjavik | 63.4% |
| Draw | 18.1% | |
| KA Akureyri | 18.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 89.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 10.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.8% |
| No | 20.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fram Reykjavik win | 55.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.6% | |
| Loss | 27.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 6.6% |
| 4-1 | 5.9% | |
| 3-2 | 5.6% |
Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri stats
Fram Reykjavik and KA Akureyri recent form
| Fram Reykjavik |
WWLWDW |
| KA Akureyri |
LDLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fram Reykjavik and KA Akureyri going into this match
Fram Reykjavik record
- They have won 13 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KA Akureyri record
- They have won 4 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | KA Akureyri | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 3-4 |
| 2025-08-24 | KA Akureyri | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-29 | Fram Reykjavik | KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.3%, draw 19.6%, away 20.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 4.80 | 4.73 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.33 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.65 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.75 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 4.92 | 4.69 |
| SBO | 1.46 | 4.36 | 4.29 |
| Unibet | 1.60 | 4.25 | 3.95 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .