KA Akureyri
vs
KR Reykjavik
3 – 5 Full time
KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
| Probability | KA Akureyri | Draw | KR Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.7% | 17.0% | 58.3% |
| Market | 20.4% | 18.0% | 61.6% |
| Final | 21.5% | 17.8% | 60.7% |
| Edge | +4.3% | -1.0% | -3.2% |
Why KR Reykjavik
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.14 vs 2.12.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
KA Akureyri and KR Reykjavik expected goals
Total expected goals: 5.27
KA Akureyri and KR Reykjavik attack and defence ratings
KA Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik: result vs prediction
KA Akureyri 3 – 5 KR Reykjavik
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KR Reykjavik | 60.7% | 1.65 | -3.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KA Akureyri | 21.5% |
| Draw | 17.8% | |
| KR Reykjavik | 60.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 89.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 10.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 84.6% |
| No | 15.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | KR Reykjavik win | 40.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 41.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-3 | 6.0% |
| 2-2 | 5.7% | |
| 1-3 | 5.7% |
KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik stats
KA Akureyri and KR Reykjavik recent form
| KA Akureyri |
DLLDDW |
| KR Reykjavik |
DWDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KA Akureyri and KR Reykjavik going into this match
KA Akureyri record
- They have won 4 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KR Reykjavik record
- They have won 13 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 3.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 3.2 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | KR Reykjavik | KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 5-3 |
| 2025-09-21 | KA Akureyri | KR Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 4-2 |
| 2025-07-06 | KR Reykjavik | KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-06 | KA Akureyri | KR Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.2%, draw 18.2%, away 61.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.62 | 5.40 | 1.49 |
| 888Sport | 4.50 | 5.00 | 1.44 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 4.50 | 1.48 |
| BetVictor | 3.90 | 4.33 | 1.40 |
| Betano | 4.30 | 5.20 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 5.00 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 4.60 | 5.20 | 1.50 |
| Marathonbet | 4.60 | 5.40 | 1.48 |
| Pinnacle | 4.43 | 5.92 | 1.51 |
| SBO | 4.32 | 4.84 | 1.45 |
| Superbet | 4.55 | 5.10 | 1.50 |
| Unibet | 4.40 | 4.60 | 1.47 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .