Vikingur Reykjavik
vs
Valur Reykjavik
2 – 0 Full time
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik
| Probability | Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | Valur Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.3% | 16.4% | 16.3% |
| Market | 69.8% | 16.5% | 13.7% |
| Final | 69.2% | 16.5% | 14.3% |
| Edge | -2.6% | -0.1% | +2.7% |
Why Vikingur Reykjavik
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.02 vs 1.53.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vikingur Reykjavik and Valur Reykjavik expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.55
Vikingur Reykjavik and Valur Reykjavik attack and defence ratings
Vikingur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik: result vs prediction
Vikingur Reykjavik 2 – 0 Valur Reykjavik
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 69.2% | 1.45 | -2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Vikingur Reykjavik win | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 69.2% |
| Draw | 16.5% | |
| Valur Reykjavik | 14.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.0% |
| No | 25.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vikingur Reykjavik win | 48.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 32.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.4% |
| 2-1 | 7.4% | |
| 3-2 | 5.7% |
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik stats
Vikingur Reykjavik and Valur Reykjavik recent form
| Vikingur Reykjavik |
LWWDLD |
| Valur Reykjavik |
DLWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vikingur Reykjavik and Valur Reykjavik going into this match
Vikingur Reykjavik record
- They have won 16 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 13 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Valur Reykjavik record
- They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Valur Reykjavik | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 1-5 |
| 2025-10-25 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Valur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Valur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-28 | Valur Reykjavik | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.8%, draw 16.5%, away 13.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.30 | 5.40 | 6.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 5.55 | 6.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.50 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 4.50 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.33 | 5.50 | 6.90 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.31 | 6.00 | 7.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 5.55 | 6.80 |
| SBO | 1.30 | 5.32 | 6.09 |
| Superbet | 1.30 | 5.70 | 6.80 |
| Unibet | 1.30 | 5.30 | 6.25 |
| William Hill | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .