Keflavik
vs
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 – 0 Full time
Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
| Probability | Keflavik | Draw | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.9% | 23.1% | 24.0% |
| Market | 43.0% | 24.4% | 32.6% |
| Final | 45.5% | 24.1% | 30.5% |
| Edge | +9.9% | -1.3% | -8.7% |
Why Keflavik
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Keflavik below the model: +9.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Keflavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.40
Keflavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar attack and defence ratings
Keflavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar: result vs prediction
Keflavik 1 – 0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Keflavik | 45.5% | 2.20 | +9.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Keflavik | 45.5% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 30.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.5% |
| No | 34.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Keflavik win | 32.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 47.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.0% |
Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar stats
Keflavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar recent form
| Keflavik |
WLWLWL |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
LDLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Keflavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar going into this match
Keflavik record
- They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar record
- They have won 4 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Keflavik | Úrvalsdeild | 6-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.1%, draw 24.3%, away 32.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 4.15 | 2.74 |
| 888Sport | 2.05 | 3.80 | 2.70 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.70 | 2.90 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.80 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 4.15 | 2.73 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 4.23 | 2.90 |
| SBO | 2.11 | 3.39 | 2.77 |
| Superbet | 2.17 | 3.75 | 2.85 |
| Unibet | 1.89 | 3.75 | 3.10 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.75 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .