IBV Vestmannaeyjar
vs
Thor Akureyri
0 – 1 Full time
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri
| Probability | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Draw | Thor Akureyri |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.1% | 22.4% | 17.6% |
| Market | 54.8% | 22.6% | 22.6% |
| Final | 56.1% | 22.5% | 21.3% |
| Edge | +5.3% | -0.2% | -5.0% |
Why IBV Vestmannaeyjar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.07.
- The market prices IBV Vestmannaeyjar below the model: +5.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Thor Akureyri expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.17
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Thor Akureyri attack and defence ratings
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Thor Akureyri
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri: result vs prediction
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 – 1 Thor Akureyri
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 56.1% | 1.78 | +5.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 56.1% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Thor Akureyri | 21.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% |
| No | 41.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar win | 37.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 39.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.3% |
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri stats
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Thor Akureyri recent form
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
LLDLLD |
| Thor Akureyri |
LLLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Thor Akureyri going into this match
IBV Vestmannaeyjar record
- They have won 4 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Thor Akureyri record
- They have won 5 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Thor Akureyri | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild | 1-4 |
| 2024-07-27 | Thor Akureyri | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1. Deild | 0-3 |
| 2024-05-20 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Thor Akureyri | 1. Deild | 1-1 |
| 2021-08-31 | Thor Akureyri | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1. Deild | 0-1 |
| 2021-06-14 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Thor Akureyri | 1. Deild | 2-1 |
| 2020-09-21 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Thor Akureyri | 1. Deild | 2-2 |
| 2020-07-18 | Thor Akureyri | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1. Deild | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.8%, draw 22.6%, away 22.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 4.20 | 4.12 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 4.05 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.68 | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67 | 4.25 | 4.23 |
| SBO | 1.62 | 3.78 | 3.76 |
| Superbet | 1.69 | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| Unibet | 1.63 | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .