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Úrvalsdeild · Full time ·Matchday 21

KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik

1 – 1 Full time

11′K. Gunnarsson
40′A. Thordarson
68′A. Thrandarson
68′A. ThrandarsonN. Hansen
69′D. HafsteinssonV. Andrason
71′H. TomassonM. Akoto
79′G. Eyjolfsson
82′E. SaebjornssonS. Geirsson
83′S. ThordarsonS. Hauksson
84′H. MagnussonA. Finnbogason
86′V. Ingimundarson
89′S. ThorkelssonR. Thorkelsson
90′G. EyjolfssonS. Karason
90′A. Finnbogason
90′A. Traustason

Referee: I. O. Kristjansson

KR Reykjavik 42%
Draw 20%
Vikingur Reykjavik 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik overview

Garuda Lions analysis: KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKR ReykjavikDrawVikingur Reykjavik
Model67.5%14.4%18.0%
Market33.8%21.7%44.5%
Final42.2%19.9%37.9%
Edge+33.8%-7.3%-26.5%

Confidence: Low

Why KR Reykjavik

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.64 vs 2.02.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices KR Reykjavik below the model: +33.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

KR Reykjavik ↓ / Vikingur Reykj → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 4+ 13% 13% 9% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 98%
3+ goals 92%
No goals 1%

KR Reykjavik and Vikingur Reykjavik expected goals

KR Reykjavik 3.64
Vikingur Reykjavik 2.02

Total expected goals: 5.66

KR Reykjavik and Vikingur Reykjavik attack and defence ratings

KR Reykjavik

Attack 1.74 +74%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Vikingur Reykjavik

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik: result vs prediction

KR Reykjavik 1 – 1 Vikingur Reykjavik

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 21 fixtures

Úrvalsdeild

Before and after this match

KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 KR Reykjavik 42.2% 2.37 +33.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 92.1% 1.09 — —
Both teams to score Yes 84.8% 1.18 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 80.1% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 KR Reykjavik win 51.0% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2KR Reykjavik42.2%
Draw19.9%
Vikingur Reykjavik37.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.592.1%
Under 2.57.9%
Both teams to scoreYes84.8%
No15.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.1%
12 (either side)80.1%
X2 (draw or away)57.8%
Handicap -1KR Reykjavik win51.0%
Push (exactly one goal)16.6%
Loss32.5%
Correct score (top 3)3-25.7%
3-15.7%
4-25.2%

KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik stats

KR Reykjavik and Vikingur Reykjavik recent form

newest first
KR Reykjavik WDWDWW
Vikingur Reykjavik LWLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

KR Reykjavik and Vikingur Reykjavik going into this match

league record before kick-off

KR Reykjavik record

  • They have won 13 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 3.5 goals per match.
  • They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 3.2 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vikingur Reykjavik record

  • They have won 16 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 13 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1KR Reykjavik wins 3Draws 6Vikingur Reykjavik wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-16Vikingur ReykjavikKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild2-0
2026-02-19Vikingur ReykjavikKR ReykjavikLeague Cup1-0
2025-09-14KR ReykjavikVikingur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild0-7
2025-06-16Vikingur ReykjavikKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild3-2
2025-01-14Vikingur ReykjavikKR ReykjavikReykjavik Cup2-5
2024-09-13KR ReykjavikVikingur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild0-3
2024-06-22Vikingur ReykjavikKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild1-1
2024-02-01Vikingur ReykjavikKR ReykjavikReykjavik Cup1-1
2023-09-20Vikingur ReykjavikKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild2-2
2023-08-16Vikingur ReykjavikKR ReykjavikCup4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.8%, draw 21.7%, away 44.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.70 4.20 2.05
1xBet 2.80 4.30 2.07
Bet365 2.62 4.20 2.00
BetVictor 2.45 3.90 1.87
Betano 2.75 4.05 2.12
Betfair 2.70 4.40 1.95
Dafabet 2.70 4.40 2.11
Marathonbet 2.79 4.30 2.05
Pinnacle 2.84 4.54 2.09
SBO 2.57 4.16 2.08
Superbet 2.70 4.25 2.12
Unibet 2.75 4.10 1.98
William Hill 2.62 4.00 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.70 ▲ +0.08
X 4.20 ▲ +0.12
2 2.05 ▼ -0.17

13 snapshots recorded, from .