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Úrvalsdeild · Full time ·Matchday 21

Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes

2 – 2 Full time

8′M. P. Ellertsson
39′D. Gardarson
41′B. Berndsen
57′R. ThrastarsonO. Stefansson
58′B. Bodvarsson
66′P. PedersenI. Stole
66′B. HeimissonS. Veseli
67′G. UnnarssonJ. Vall
67′S. ThorsteinssonR. Sigurjonsson
79′L. Heimisson
81′J. Jonsson
86′S. EllertssonM. Gunnarsson
90′B. Berndsen

Referee: P. Gudmundsson

Valur Reykjavik 40%
Draw 23%
IA Akranes 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityValur ReykjavikDrawIA Akranes
Model28.4%22.1%49.5%
Market43.3%22.9%33.8%
Final39.6%22.7%37.7%
Edge-14.9%-0.8%+15.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Valur Reykjavi ↓ / IA Akranes → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 9% 6% 6% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Valur Reykjavik and IA Akranes expected goals

Valur Reykjavik 1.64
IA Akranes 2.18

Total expected goals: 3.82

Valur Reykjavik and IA Akranes attack and defence ratings

Valur Reykjavik

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.27 +27%

IA Akranes

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes: result vs prediction

Valur Reykjavik 2 – 2 IA Akranes

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 21 fixtures

Úrvalsdeild

Before and after this match

Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Valur Reykjavik 39.6% 2.53 -14.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.3% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.2% 1.38 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.3% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.7% 1.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Valur Reykjavik39.6%
Draw22.7%
IA Akranes37.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.3%
Under 2.526.7%
Both teams to scoreYes72.2%
No27.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.3%
12 (either side)77.3%
X2 (draw or away)60.4%
Handicap -1Valur Reykjavik win13.9%
Push (exactly one goal)14.4%
Loss71.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.6%
1-28.6%
2-27.0%

Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes stats

Valur Reykjavik and IA Akranes recent form

newest first
Valur Reykjavik LDLWLL
IA Akranes DWWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Valur Reykjavik and IA Akranes going into this match

league record before kick-off

Valur Reykjavik record

  • They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IA Akranes record

  • They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Valur Reykjavik wins 1Draws 1IA Akranes wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-16IA AkranesValur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild1-0
2025-08-05IA AkranesValur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild2-2
2025-05-10Valur ReykjavikIA AkranesÚrvalsdeild6-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 22.9%, away 33.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.15 4.10 2.75
Bet365 2.10 3.80 2.70
Betano 2.18 4.00 2.72
Betfair 2.10 4.00 2.63
Dafabet 2.16 4.00 2.75
Marathonbet 2.13 4.10 2.74
Pinnacle 2.18 4.10 2.74
SBO 2.06 3.72 2.53
Unibet 2.10 3.75 2.65
William Hill 2.10 3.80 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.12 ▲ +0.08
X 4.00 ▼ -0.10
2 2.71 ▼ -0.19

10 snapshots recorded, from .