Úrvalsdeild · Full time ·Matchday 21

FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik

2 – 1 Full time

23′S. Ljubicic
27′G. Gislason
34′G. Gislason
34′B. JonssonA. Gudmundsson
42′S. Magnusson
52′K. Halldorsson
57′A. Birgisson
59′G. GislasonG. Tryggvason
59′A. BirgissonA. Gudjohnsen
66′S. MagnussonM. Simicic
66′A. JohannessonE. Bwomono
66′A. ContehD. Valsson
81′B. BaxterM. Mudrazija

KaplakrikiReferee: H. M. Jonasson

FH hafnarfjordur 42%
Draw 26%
Keflavik 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFH hafnarfjordurDrawKeflavik
Model34.9%30.4%34.7%
Market44.1%24.5%31.4%
Final41.8%25.9%32.3%
Edge-9.2%+5.9%+3.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FH hafnarfjord ↓ / Keflavik → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

FH hafnarfjordur and Keflavik expected goals

FH hafnarfjordur 1.20
Keflavik 1.19

Total expected goals: 2.39

FH hafnarfjordur and Keflavik attack and defence ratings

FH hafnarfjordur

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Keflavik

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik: result vs prediction

FH hafnarfjordur 2 – 1 Keflavik

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 21 fixtures

Úrvalsdeild

Before and after this match

FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FH hafnarfjordur 41.8% 2.39 -9.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.4% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score No 50.2% 1.99 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.1% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.1% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FH hafnarfjordur41.8%
Draw25.9%
Keflavik32.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.6%
Under 2.557.4%
Both teams to scoreYes49.8%
No50.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.7%
12 (either side)74.1%
X2 (draw or away)58.2%
Handicap -1FH hafnarfjordur win15.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss65.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
0-010.5%
1-09.7%

FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik stats

FH hafnarfjordur and Keflavik recent form

newest first
FH hafnarfjordur DLWDDD
Keflavik WWLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FH hafnarfjordur and Keflavik going into this match

league record before kick-off

FH hafnarfjordur record

  • They have won 4 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.

Keflavik record

  • They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.

FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1FH hafnarfjordur wins 0Draws 0Keflavik wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-14KeflavikFH hafnarfjordurÚrvalsdeild1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.1%, draw 24.5%, away 31.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.09 3.74 3.05
Bet365 2.05 3.70 2.88
Betano 2.10 3.80 2.92
Betfair 2.00 3.90 2.80
Dafabet 2.08 3.85 2.95
Marathonbet 2.07 3.74 3.04
Pinnacle 2.08 3.87 3.04
SBO 1.97 3.57 2.76
Unibet 2.18 3.60 2.60
William Hill 2.05 3.50 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.08 ▲ +0.04
X 3.74 ▼ -0.04
2 2.91 ▼ -0.17

10 snapshots recorded, from .