IA Akranes
vs
FH hafnarfjordur
1 – 1 Full time
IA Akranes vs FH hafnarfjordur overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IA Akranes vs FH hafnarfjordur
| Probability | IA Akranes | Draw | FH hafnarfjordur |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.0% | 24.0% | 22.1% |
| Market | 43.4% | 24.0% | 32.6% |
| Final | 46.1% | 24.0% | 29.9% |
| Edge | +10.5% | -0.0% | -10.5% |
Why IA Akranes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices IA Akranes below the model: +10.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IA Akranes and FH hafnarfjordur expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
IA Akranes and FH hafnarfjordur attack and defence ratings
IA Akranes
FH hafnarfjordur
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
IA Akranes vs FH hafnarfjordur: result vs prediction
IA Akranes 1 – 1 FH hafnarfjordur
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
IA Akranes vs FH hafnarfjordur markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IA Akranes | 46.1% | 2.17 | +10.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IA Akranes | 46.1% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| FH hafnarfjordur | 29.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% |
| No | 39.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | IA Akranes win | 32.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 46.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.2% |
IA Akranes vs FH hafnarfjordur stats
IA Akranes and FH hafnarfjordur recent form
| IA Akranes |
WWDWLL |
| FH hafnarfjordur |
LWDDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IA Akranes and FH hafnarfjordur going into this match
IA Akranes record
- They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FH hafnarfjordur record
- They have won 4 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
IA Akranes vs FH hafnarfjordur head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | FH hafnarfjordur | IA Akranes | Úrvalsdeild | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-11 | FH hafnarfjordur | IA Akranes | Úrvalsdeild | 3-2 |
| 2025-05-19 | IA Akranes | FH hafnarfjordur | Úrvalsdeild | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IA Akranes vs FH hafnarfjordur odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.4%, draw 24.2%, away 32.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.94 | 2.85 |
| 888Sport | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.75 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.90 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 4.00 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.15 | 3.95 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.90 | 2.85 |
| Pinnacle | 2.15 | 4.10 | 2.93 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 3.57 | 2.57 |
| Superbet | 2.15 | 3.80 | 2.85 |
| Unibet | 2.00 | 3.60 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .