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Úrvalsdeild · Full time ·Matchday 20

Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik

3 – 4 Full time

Referee: J. I. Jonsson

Breidablik 38%
Draw 23%
Fram Reykjavik 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBreidablikDrawFram Reykjavik
Model39.8%21.2%39.0%
Market37.5%23.3%39.3%
Final38.1%22.8%39.2%
Edge+2.3%-2.0%-0.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Fram Reykjavik

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Breidablik ↓ / Fram Reykjavik → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 7% 5% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 4% 3 5% 5% 4% 4+ 4% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

Breidablik and Fram Reykjavik expected goals

Breidablik 2.15
Fram Reykjavik 2.13

Total expected goals: 4.27

Breidablik and Fram Reykjavik attack and defence ratings

Breidablik

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Fram Reykjavik

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik: result vs prediction

Breidablik 3 – 4 Fram Reykjavik

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 20 fixtures

Úrvalsdeild

Before and after this match

Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fram Reykjavik 39.2% 2.55 -0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.9% 1.25 — —
Both teams to score Yes 78.4% 1.28 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.2% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.0% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Breidablik38.1%
Draw22.8%
Fram Reykjavik39.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.9%
Under 2.520.1%
Both teams to scoreYes78.4%
No21.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.8%
12 (either side)77.2%
X2 (draw or away)61.9%
Handicap -1Fram Reykjavik win22.3%
Push (exactly one goal)16.7%
Loss61.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.3%
1-17.0%
2-16.8%

Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik stats

Breidablik and Fram Reykjavik recent form

newest first
Breidablik DLLWDW
Fram Reykjavik WLWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Breidablik and Fram Reykjavik going into this match

league record before kick-off

Breidablik record

  • They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Fram Reykjavik record

  • They have won 13 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Breidablik wins 1Draws 3Fram Reykjavik wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-29Fram ReykjavikBreidablikÚrvalsdeild4-3
2025-10-05BreidablikFram ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild3-1
2025-06-23BreidablikFram ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild1-1
2025-04-13Fram ReykjavikBreidablikÚrvalsdeild4-2
2025-02-04BreidablikFram ReykjavikLeague Cup1-3
2024-08-19BreidablikFram ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild3-1
2024-05-26Fram ReykjavikBreidablikÚrvalsdeild1-4
2023-07-14Fram ReykjavikBreidablikÚrvalsdeild0-1
2023-04-28BreidablikFram ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild5-4
2022-08-22Fram ReykjavikBreidablikÚrvalsdeild0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.4%, draw 23.4%, away 39.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.38 3.95 2.38
1xBet 2.50 3.96 2.34
888Sport 2.45 3.70 2.30
Bet365 2.40 3.70 2.30
BetVictor 2.25 3.40 2.15
Betano 2.42 3.95 2.42
Betfair 2.45 4.00 2.20
Dafabet 2.47 4.00 2.40
Marathonbet 2.50 3.96 2.34
Pinnacle 2.58 4.08 2.39
SBO 2.36 3.68 2.30
Superbet 2.47 3.90 2.40
Unibet 2.23 3.85 2.45
William Hill 2.45 3.70 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.45 —
X 3.95 ▲ +0.03
2 2.34 ▼ -0.01

6 snapshots recorded, from .