Stjarnan
vs
KA Akureyri
0 – 3 Full time
| 32′ | G. Nokkvason | ||
| 33′ | H. Steingrimsson | ||
| 38′ | A. Palsson | ||
| 58′ | I. TurayJ. Gunnarsson | ||
| 58′ | E. AtlasonA. Bjarnason | ||
| 58′ | B. IngasonA. Hauksson | ||
| 64′ | A. PalssonV. Saevarsson | ||
| 64′ | M. ThordarsonJ. Robertsson | ||
| 68′ | B. Waren | ||
| 70′ | V. Saevarsson | ||
| 79′ | B. BaldvinssonH. Steingrimsson | ||
| 79′ | J. PedersenD. Djuric | ||
| 79′ | O. EggertssonA. Vilhjalmsson | ||
| 79′ | S. T. IngimarssonS. Jonsson | ||
| 83′ | H. SteingrimssonS. Johannsson | ||
| 83′ | B. Hauksson |
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri
| Probability | Stjarnan | Draw | KA Akureyri |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.4% | 20.6% | 26.0% |
| Market | 50.8% | 20.8% | 28.4% |
| Final | 51.4% | 20.8% | 27.8% |
| Edge | +0.6% | -0.0% | -0.6% |
Why Stjarnan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.42 vs 1.69.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stjarnan and KA Akureyri expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.10
Stjarnan and KA Akureyri attack and defence ratings
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri: result vs prediction
Stjarnan 0 – 3 KA Akureyri
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Relegation Group - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stjarnan | 51.4% | 1.94 | +0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stjarnan | 51.4% |
| Draw | 20.8% | |
| KA Akureyri | 27.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.9% |
| No | 25.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stjarnan win | 34.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 46.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.1% |
| 1-1 | 7.4% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri stats
Stjarnan and KA Akureyri recent form
| Stjarnan |
LWDWWL |
| KA Akureyri |
WLWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stjarnan and KA Akureyri going into this match
Stjarnan record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
KA Akureyri record
- They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Stjarnan | KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 3-1 |
| 2026-04-12 | KA Akureyri | Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-31 | Stjarnan | KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 3-2 |
| 2025-06-01 | KA Akureyri | Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-18 | KA Akureyri | Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild | 1-1 |
| 2024-05-26 | Stjarnan | KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 5-0 |
| 2023-08-26 | KA Akureyri | Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild | 2-1 |
| 2023-06-02 | Stjarnan | KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 4-0 |
| 2022-10-23 | Stjarnan | KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 0-3 |
| 2022-08-21 | Stjarnan | KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.8%, draw 20.8%, away 28.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 4.60 | 3.34 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.75 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 4.20 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 4.40 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 1.88 | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 4.55 | 3.22 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 4.85 | 3.18 |
| SBO | 1.74 | 4.12 | 3.22 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 4.33 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .