Valur Reykjavik
vs
FH hafnarfjordur
Garuda Lions Prediction: Valur Reykjavik
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur
| Probability | Valur Reykjavik | Draw | FH hafnarfjordur |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.7% | 26.1% | 43.2% |
| Market | 42.6% | 23.3% | 34.1% |
| Final | 39.6% | 24.0% | 36.4% |
| Edge | -11.8% | +2.8% | +9.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur match preview
Valur Reykjavik faces FH Hafnarfjordur in a matchup that sees the home side with a 40% probability of winning, while FH Hafnarfjordur stands at 36%. The likelihood of a draw is 24%. The expected goals for Valur Reykjavik is 1.37, compared to FH Hafnarfjordur's 1.66, indicating a competitive encounter.
Recent form shows Valur Reykjavik with mixed results, recording two draws, a win, and two losses in their last five matches. In contrast, FH Hafnarfjordur has had a stronger run, with three wins, a draw, and two losses in their recent outings. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Valur Reykjavik, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Valur Reykjavik and FH hafnarfjordur expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.03
Valur Reykjavik and FH hafnarfjordur attack and defence ratings
Valur Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Relegation Group - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valur Reykjavik | 39.6% | 2.53 | -11.8% | 2.20 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valur Reykjavik | 39.6% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| FH hafnarfjordur | 36.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% |
| No | 38.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Valur Reykjavik win | 14.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.5% | |
| Loss | 69.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur stats
Valur Reykjavik and FH hafnarfjordur recent form
| Valur Reykjavik |
DWWDLD |
| FH hafnarfjordur |
WWLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Valur Reykjavik and FH hafnarfjordur season so far
Valur Reykjavik record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FH hafnarfjordur record
- They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | FH hafnarfjordur | Valur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Valur Reykjavik | FH hafnarfjordur | Úrvalsdeild | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Valur Reykjavik | FH hafnarfjordur | Úrvalsdeild | 4-4 |
| 2025-07-27 | Valur Reykjavik | FH hafnarfjordur | Úrvalsdeild | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | FH hafnarfjordur | Valur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 3-0 |
| 2024-10-19 | FH hafnarfjordur | Valur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-19 | FH hafnarfjordur | Valur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-25 | Valur Reykjavik | FH hafnarfjordur | Úrvalsdeild | 2-2 |
| 2024-04-24 | Valur Reykjavik | FH hafnarfjordur | Cup | 3-0 |
| 2023-10-01 | Valur Reykjavik | FH hafnarfjordur | Úrvalsdeild | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.6%, draw 23.3%, away 34.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.94 | 2.71 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.75 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.95 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 4.10 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.18 | 4.00 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.94 | 2.69 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20 | 3.94 | 2.79 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.66 | 2.52 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .