Úrvalsdeild · 2026-10-10T14:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Relegation Group - 3

Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur

3 – 5 Full time

2′			A. Birgisson
16′			T. Robertsson
29′			G. Gislason
50′			D. Gardarson
56′			G. Gislason
58′			G. Gislason
63′			H. GunnarssonM. Veldman
64′			K. ArnarssonS. Veseli
69′			K. Finnbogason
71′			K. FinnbogasonG. Tryggvason
72′			A. BirgissonS. Hjaltested
72′			I. StoleJ. Palsson
80′			B. JonssonA. Gudmundsson
80′			G. GislasonB. Thorsson
84′			J. Palsson
86′			K. HalldorssonA. Svavarsson
89′			L. Heimisson
90′			S. Veseli

Referee: T. Ahmed

Valur Reykjavik

40%

Draw

24%

FH hafnarfjordur

36%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Valur Reykjavik	Draw	FH hafnarfjordur
Model	30.7%	26.1%	43.2%
Market	42.8%	23.2%	34.1%
Final	39.8%	23.9%	36.3%
Edge	-3.0%	+0.7%	+2.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

82%

3+ goals

58%

No goals

Valur Reykjavik and FH hafnarfjordur expected goals

Valur Reykjavik

1.37

FH hafnarfjordur

1.66

Total expected goals: 3.03

Valur Reykjavik and FH hafnarfjordur attack and defence ratings

Valur Reykjavik

Attack

0.98 -2%

Defence

1.06 +6%

FH hafnarfjordur

Attack

1.01 +1%

Defence

0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur: result vs prediction

Valur Reykjavik 3 – 5 FH hafnarfjordur

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Relegation Group - 3 fixtures

Úrvalsdeild

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Before and after this match

Valur Reykjavik, previous: IBV Vestmannaeyjar – Valur Reykjavik, 2026-09-20
Valur Reykjavik, next: Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri: odds and pick
FH hafnarfjordur, previous: FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan: odds and pick
FH hafnarfjordur, next: IBV Vestmannaeyjar – FH hafnarfjordur, 2026-10-16

Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Valur Reykjavik	39.8%	2.52	-3.0%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58.4%	1.71	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	61.6%	1.62	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	76.1%	1.31	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	69.3%	1.44	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Valur Reykjavik	39.8%
	Draw	23.9%
	FH hafnarfjordur	36.3%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58.4%
	Under 2.5	41.6%
Both teams to score	Yes	61.6%
	No	38.4%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	63.7%
	12 (either side)	76.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	60.2%
Handicap -1	Valur Reykjavik win	14.2%
	Push (exactly one goal)	16.5%
	Loss	69.3%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	12.1%
	1-2	9.1%
	2-1	7.5%

Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur stats

Valur Reykjavik and FH hafnarfjordur recent form

newest first

Valur Reykjavik	DWWDLD
FH hafnarfjordur	WWLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Valur Reykjavik and FH hafnarfjordur going into this match

league record before kick-off

Valur Reykjavik record

They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FH hafnarfjordur record

They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Valur Reykjavik wins 4Draws 2FH hafnarfjordur wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-07-12	FH hafnarfjordur	Valur Reykjavik	Úrvalsdeild	2-0
2026-04-23	Valur Reykjavik	FH hafnarfjordur	Úrvalsdeild	3-0
2025-10-19	Valur Reykjavik	FH hafnarfjordur	Úrvalsdeild	4-4
2025-07-27	Valur Reykjavik	FH hafnarfjordur	Úrvalsdeild	3-1
2025-05-04	FH hafnarfjordur	Valur Reykjavik	Úrvalsdeild	3-0
2024-10-19	FH hafnarfjordur	Valur Reykjavik	Úrvalsdeild	1-1
2024-08-19	FH hafnarfjordur	Valur Reykjavik	Úrvalsdeild	2-2
2024-05-25	Valur Reykjavik	FH hafnarfjordur	Úrvalsdeild	2-2
2024-04-24	Valur Reykjavik	FH hafnarfjordur	Cup	3-0
2023-10-01	Valur Reykjavik	FH hafnarfjordur	Úrvalsdeild	4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.8%, draw 23.2%, away 34.1%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.17	3.98	2.72
Bet365	2.15	3.75	2.62
BetVictor	2.00	3.50	2.40
Betano	2.20	3.95	2.70
Betfair	2.10	4.00	2.63
Dafabet	2.18	4.00	2.75
Marathonbet	2.15	3.98	2.70
Pinnacle	2.21	4.11	2.81
SBO	2.12	3.78	2.54
William Hill	2.15	3.60	2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.01

X 3.96 ▲ +0.02

2 2.70 —

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-04T08:10:02Z.