Irtysh
vs
FC Astana
0 – 1 Full time
| 1′ | J. Poe | ||
| 39′ | Y. Shimamura | ||
| 46′ | Y. ShimamuraM. Khalmatov | ||
| 46′ | J. PoeLeonardo Kalil | ||
| 50′ | B. Islamkhan | ||
| 64′ | D. EsimbekovO. A. Falaye | ||
| 67′ | D. KaramanA. Beysebekov | ||
| 67′ | D. MaratM. Abrayev | ||
| 71′ | T. MukhametzhanovD. Berdibek | ||
| 79′ | R. KarimovA. Nurlan | ||
| 80′ | B. IslamkhanI. Miladinovic | ||
| 81′ | R. KarimovN. Buric | ||
| 88′ | M. TomasovD. Shomko |
Irtysh vs FC Astana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Irtysh vs FC Astana
| Probability | Irtysh | Draw | FC Astana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.9% | 28.4% | 44.7% |
| Market | 26.2% | 25.2% | 48.6% |
| Final | 26.4% | 26.0% | 47.6% |
| Edge | +0.2% | +0.8% | -1.0% |
Why FC Astana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.10.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Irtysh and FC Astana expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
Irtysh and FC Astana attack and defence ratings
Irtysh
FC Astana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Irtysh vs FC Astana: result vs prediction
Irtysh 0 – 1 FC Astana
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Irtysh vs FC Astana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Astana | 47.6% | 2.10 | -1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Irtysh | 26.4% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| FC Astana | 47.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% |
| No | 47.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Astana win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 55.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 10.0% | |
| 1-2 | 9.1% |
Irtysh vs FC Astana stats
Irtysh and FC Astana recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Irtysh and FC Astana going into this match
Irtysh record
- They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 26 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Astana record
- They have won 14 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Irtysh vs FC Astana head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | FC Astana | Irtysh | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2019-11-10 | FC Astana | Irtysh | Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2019-05-15 | Irtysh | FC Astana | Premier League | 0-4 |
| 2019-05-05 | FC Astana | Irtysh | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2018-11-11 | FC Astana | Irtysh | Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2018-06-17 | FC Astana | Irtysh | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2018-04-07 | Irtysh | FC Astana | Premier League | 1-6 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Irtysh vs FC Astana odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.2%, draw 25.2%, away 48.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.76 | 3.74 | 1.88 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 1.91 |
| Betano | 3.45 | 3.70 | 1.88 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.85 |
| Dafabet | 3.40 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| Marathonbet | 3.58 | 3.56 | 1.79 |
| Pinnacle | 3.45 | 3.63 | 1.85 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .