Dorados
vs
Cancún
1 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | O. Coronel | ||
| 46′ | J. AlvarezA. Egana | ||
| 52′ | K. Campos | ||
| 61′ | F. ContrerasD. Guajardo | ||
| 61′ | O. CoronelC. Leyva | ||
| 67′ | P. UscangaA. Arredondo | ||
| 74′ | R. FrancoE. Gutierrez | ||
| 75′ | A. Alvarez | ||
| 80′ | F. PenaB. Sanchez | ||
| 82′ | K. CamposL. Ruiz | ||
| 82′ | F. MelendreC. Vela | ||
| 88′ | G. PreciadoR. Reyes | ||
| 90′ | E. Gutierrez |
Dorados vs Cancún overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dorados vs Cancún
| Probability | Dorados | Draw | Cancún |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.4% | 24.2% | 29.4% |
| Market | 39.3% | 26.6% | 34.1% |
| Final | 41.1% | 26.0% | 32.9% |
| Edge | +7.1% | -2.4% | -4.7% |
Why Dorados
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.48.
- The market prices Dorados below the model: +7.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dorados and Cancún expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.37
Dorados and Cancún attack and defence ratings
Dorados
Cancún
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dorados vs Cancún: result vs prediction
Dorados 1 – 1 Cancún
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Dorados vs Cancún markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dorados | 41.1% | 2.43 | +7.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dorados | 41.1% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Cancún | 32.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% |
| No | 33.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dorados win | 26.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 53.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.1% |
Dorados vs Cancún stats
Dorados and Cancún recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dorados and Cancún going into this match
Dorados record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cancún record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dorados vs Cancún head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | Cancún | Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX | 3-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | Dorados | Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-09 | Cancún | Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-30 | Dorados | Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX | 4-1 |
| 2024-04-10 | Cancún | Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-2 |
| 2023-08-13 | Dorados | Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-0 |
| 2023-01-18 | Dorados | Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-2 |
| 2022-09-26 | Cancún | Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-2 |
| 2022-01-18 | Cancún | Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-2 |
| 2021-09-03 | Dorados | Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dorados vs Cancún odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.3%, draw 26.6%, away 34.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.26 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41 | 3.51 | 2.81 |
| SBO | 2.30 | 3.07 | 2.56 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .