Liga de Expansión MX · Full time ·Apertura - 9

CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados

1 – 1 Full time

10′I. Ochoa
22′A. Flores
45′R. Franco
50′J. A. Ocejo Zazueta
54′J. A. Ocejo Zazueta
58′G. PadillaB. Ordorica
59′D. GuajardoF. Contreras
59′A. FloresM. Flores
62′O. Manzanarez
66′L. VargasB. Sanchez
70′N. ArriagaR. Gonzalez
81′D. OsunaC. Galicia
82′J. A. Ocejo ZazuetaF. Lopez
83′J. MartinezO. Mendez
87′F. Lopez
90′D. Alcantar
90′D. MaganaD. Lopez
90′I. RamirezJ. Lopez Gonzalez
90′F. Pena
90′O. Coronel

Estadio Tamaulipas, Tampico-Ciudad MaderoReferee: A. Lopez

CDS Tampico Madero 54%
Draw 24%
Dorados 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCDS Tampico MaderoDrawDorados
Model40.1%25.6%34.2%
Market58.0%23.0%19.0%
Final53.5%23.7%22.8%
Edge-17.8%+2.6%+15.3%

Confidence: Low

Why CDS Tampico Madero

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CDS Tampico Ma ↓ / Dorados → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

CDS Tampico Madero and Dorados expected goals

CDS Tampico Madero 1.65
Dorados 1.52

Total expected goals: 3.17

CDS Tampico Madero and Dorados attack and defence ratings

CDS Tampico Madero

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Dorados

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados: result vs prediction

CDS Tampico Madero 1 – 1 Dorados

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 9 fixtures

Liga de Expansión MX

Before and after this match

CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CDS Tampico Madero 53.5% 1.87 -17.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.4% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.1% 1.56 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.2% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.9% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CDS Tampico Madero53.5%
Draw23.7%
Dorados22.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.4%
Under 2.538.6%
Both teams to scoreYes64.1%
No35.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.2%
12 (either side)76.3%
X2 (draw or away)46.5%
Handicap -1CDS Tampico Madero win21.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss59.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
2-18.7%
1-28.0%

CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados stats

CDS Tampico Madero and Dorados recent form

newest first
CDS Tampico Madero LWLWLW
Dorados DWWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CDS Tampico Madero and Dorados going into this match

league record before kick-off

CDS Tampico Madero record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dorados record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

4CDS Tampico Madero wins 0Draws 0Dorados wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08CDS Tampico MaderoDoradosLiga de Expansión MX2-0
2025-09-28DoradosCDS Tampico MaderoLiga de Expansión MX2-3
2025-03-23DoradosCDS Tampico MaderoLiga de Expansión MX0-1
2024-10-23CDS Tampico MaderoDoradosLiga de Expansión MX4-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 58.0%, draw 23.0%, away 19.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.56 3.90 4.80
Bet365 1.65 4.00 4.75
BetVictor 1.57 4.00 5.00
Betano 1.60 3.95 4.80
Betfair 1.53 4.00 5.00
Marathonbet 1.54 3.90 4.70
Pinnacle 1.62 4.15 5.11
SBO 1.51 3.70 4.67
William Hill 1.57 3.80 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.57 ▼ -0.10
X 3.95 ▲ +0.15
2 4.80 ▲ +0.51

6 snapshots recorded, from .