Liga de Expansión MX · Full time ·Apertura - 9

Durango vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo

2 – 0 Full time

11′J. I. Reyes Olguin
23′J. Montes
25′I. Silva
30′A. Garcia
46′J. GonzalezL. Lorona
54′I. SilvaA. Cubillas
54′J. MontesD. Valdez
59′K. Gonzalez
63′K. GonzalezC. Leon
63′C. ValdiviaV. Taboada
65′V. Taboada
66′J. AnguloL. Gutierrez
67′J. Diaz
70′A. GarciaA. Ontiveros
73′E. Cantu
78′J. I. Reyes OlguinA. Valenzuela
78′A. EscobozaC. Vega Hernandez
78′J. CaleroE. Castaneda
80′A. Ontiveros
85′L. Gutierrez
86′A. Cubillas
87′A. Valenzuela

Estadio Francisco Zarco, DurangoReferee: M. Guzman

Durango 40%
Draw 32%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Durango vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Durango vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDurangoDrawCruz Azul Hidalgo
Model40.2%31.8%28.0%
Market———
Final40.2%31.8%28.0%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Durango ↓ / Cruz Azul Hida → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Durango and Cruz Azul Hidalgo expected goals

Durango 1.20
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 0.96

Total expected goals: 2.16

Durango and Cruz Azul Hidalgo attack and defence ratings

Durango

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Durango vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo: result vs prediction

Durango 2 – 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 9 fixtures

Liga de Expansión MX

Before and after this match

Durango vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Durango 40.2% 2.49 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.3% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 55.5% 1.80 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.0% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.8% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Durango40.2%
Draw31.8%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo28.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.7%
Under 2.563.3%
Both teams to scoreYes44.5%
No55.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.0%
12 (either side)68.2%
X2 (draw or away)59.8%
Handicap -1Durango win18.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss59.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-012.8%
1-012.5%

Durango vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo stats

Durango and Cruz Azul Hidalgo recent form

newest first
Durango LDDLLL
Cruz Azul Hidalgo DLWDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Durango and Cruz Azul Hidalgo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Durango record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Durango vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Durango wins 2Draws 0Cruz Azul Hidalgo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-05-02Cruz Azul HidalgoDurangoLiga Premier Serie A1-1
2021-04-30DurangoCruz Azul HidalgoLiga Premier Serie A1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Durango vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.