Liga de Expansión MX
·
Full time
·Apertura - 10
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
vs
Leones Negros UDG
1 – 2 Full time
| 23′ | I. Ramirez | ||
| 34′ | O. Gil | ||
| 37′ | R. Rubio | ||
| 46′ | J. BrigidoJ. Perez | ||
| 46′ | I. Ramirez | ||
| 56′ | L. Razo | ||
| 62′ | E. CastanedaB. Gamboa | ||
| 62′ | D. ValdezV. Taboada | ||
| 62′ | C. ValdiviaJ. Montes | ||
| 67′ | I. RamirezK. Palacios | ||
| 73′ | O. GilJ. Cazares | ||
| 73′ | A. De Jesus Bravo SantiagoA. Carreon | ||
| 78′ | S. De Los Rios | ||
| 85′ | R. RubioI. Silva | ||
| 85′ | S. A. HernandezM. Valenzuela | ||
| 85′ | U. MezaL. Flores | ||
| 86′ | J. Escalante | ||
| 90′ | L. Razo |
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
35%
Draw
26%
Leones Negros UDG
39%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Leones Negros UDG overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Leones Negros UDG
| Probability | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | Draw | Leones Negros UDG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.8% | 26.2% | 39.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.8% | 26.2% | 39.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Leones Negros UDG
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
59%
No goals
6%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Leones Negros UDG expected goals
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1.48
Leones Negros UDG
1.58
Total expected goals: 3.07
Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Leones Negros UDG attack and defence ratings
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Attack
0.86 -14%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Leones Negros UDG
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Leones Negros UDG: result vs prediction
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1 – 2 Leones Negros UDG
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Leones Negros UDG markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leones Negros UDG | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 34.8% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Leones Negros UDG | 39.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% |
| No | 37.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leones Negros UDG win | 20.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 60.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Leones Negros UDG stats
Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Leones Negros UDG recent form
| Cruz Azul Hidalgo |
LDLWDL |
| Leones Negros UDG |
LDWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Leones Negros UDG going into this match
Cruz Azul Hidalgo record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Leones Negros UDG record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.