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Liga de Expansión MX · Full time ·Apertura - 10

Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero

1 – 0 Full time

34′O. Manzanarez
35′C. CruzR. Gonzalez
55′O. Islas
67′D. MaganaF. Lopez
69′A. Di PippaT. Sandoval
72′N. Arriaga
72′W. Ortega
73′D. LopezE. Escalante
74′N. ArriagaJ. Tovar
74′J. MartinezO. Mendez
75′O. Manzanarez
75′O. Manzanarez
81′B. MendozaN. Gomez Del Rosal
84′I. Ramirez
88′R. Gonzalez
88′E. TorresG. Moreno
88′O. IslasJ. Estopier
90′E. Escalante

Referee: F. Cruz Garatachea

Correcaminos Uat 44%
Draw 25%
CDS Tampico Madero 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCorrecaminos UatDrawCDS Tampico Madero
Model52.8%22.7%24.5%
Market41.5%26.1%32.4%
Final44.3%25.2%30.4%
Edge+11.3%-3.4%-7.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Correcaminos Uat

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.41.
  • The market prices Correcaminos Uat below the model: +11.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Correcaminos U ↓ / CDS Tampico Ma → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 10% 6% 2 7% 9% 7% 3 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Correcaminos Uat and CDS Tampico Madero expected goals

Correcaminos Uat 2.11
CDS Tampico Madero 1.41

Total expected goals: 3.52

Correcaminos Uat and CDS Tampico Madero attack and defence ratings

Correcaminos Uat

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.38 +38%

CDS Tampico Madero

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero: result vs prediction

Correcaminos Uat 1 – 0 CDS Tampico Madero

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 10 fixtures

Liga de Expansión MX

Before and after this match

Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Correcaminos Uat 44.3% 2.26 +11.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.2% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.3% 1.49 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.2% 2.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Correcaminos Uat44.3%
Draw25.2%
CDS Tampico Madero30.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.2%
Under 2.531.8%
Both teams to scoreYes67.3%
No32.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.6%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)55.7%
Handicap -1Correcaminos Uat win32.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss47.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.7%
2-19.3%
2-06.6%

Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero stats

Correcaminos Uat and CDS Tampico Madero recent form

newest first
Correcaminos Uat LDLDWL
CDS Tampico Madero DLWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Correcaminos Uat and CDS Tampico Madero going into this match

league record before kick-off

Correcaminos Uat record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

CDS Tampico Madero record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Correcaminos Uat wins 1Draws 2CDS Tampico Madero wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-19CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX3-1
2025-09-13Correcaminos UatCDS Tampico MaderoLiga de Expansión MX1-2
2025-01-31Correcaminos UatCDS Tampico MaderoLiga de Expansión MX2-1
2024-08-16CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 26.2%, away 32.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.17 3.44 2.82
Bet365 2.30 3.60 2.88
BetVictor 2.20 3.50 2.88
Betano 2.32 3.45 2.70
Betfair 2.20 3.50 2.70
Marathonbet 2.15 3.44 2.76
Pinnacle 2.26 3.77 2.93
SBO 2.16 3.11 2.58
William Hill 2.25 3.30 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▼ -0.07
X 3.50 ▲ +0.10
2 2.82 ▲ +0.19

12 snapshots recorded, from .