Liga de Expansión MX
·
Full time
·Apertura - 11
Correcaminos Uat
vs
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0 – 0 Full time
| 4′ | E. Torres | ||
| 9′ | K. Gonzalez | ||
| 20′ | E. TorresT. Sandoval | ||
| 23′ | O. Perez | ||
| 29′ | J. Mendoza | ||
| 42′ | S. De Los Rios | ||
| 58′ | W. OrtegaJ. Estopier | ||
| 60′ | K. GonzalezE. Castaneda | ||
| 60′ | B. GamboaJ. Duran Islas | ||
| 69′ | B. MendozaN. Gomez Del Rosal | ||
| 69′ | C. ValdiviaV. Taboada | ||
| 70′ | R. Rubio | ||
| 77′ | I. RamirezC. Leon | ||
| 77′ | D. ValdezA. Cubillas | ||
| 88′ | J. Duran Islas | ||
| 89′ | J. Duran Islas | ||
| 89′ | J. Duran Islas |
Correcaminos Uat
60%
Draw
21%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
19%
Correcaminos Uat vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Correcaminos Uat vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
| Probability | Correcaminos Uat | Draw | Cruz Azul Hidalgo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.9% | 21.3% | 18.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.9% | 21.3% | 18.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Correcaminos Uat
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
Correcaminos Uat and Cruz Azul Hidalgo expected goals
Correcaminos Uat
2.25
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1.22
Total expected goals: 3.47
Correcaminos Uat and Cruz Azul Hidalgo attack and defence ratings
Correcaminos Uat
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
1.25 +25%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
1.21 +21%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Correcaminos Uat vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo: result vs prediction
Correcaminos Uat 0 – 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Correcaminos Uat vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Correcaminos Uat | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.3% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Correcaminos Uat | 59.9% |
| Draw | 21.3% | |
| Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 18.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% |
| No | 36.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Correcaminos Uat win | 38.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 40.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.6% |
| 1-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 7.9% |
Correcaminos Uat vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo stats
Correcaminos Uat and Cruz Azul Hidalgo recent form
| Correcaminos Uat |
WLDLDW |
| Cruz Azul Hidalgo |
LLDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Correcaminos Uat and Cruz Azul Hidalgo going into this match
Correcaminos Uat record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.