Monarcas
vs
Tlaxcala
1 – 1 Full time
| 7′ | D. Zamora | ||
| 9′ | J. Freyfeld | ||
| 30′ | M. Ramirez | ||
| 39′ | B. Flores | ||
| 41′ | P. Gonzalez | ||
| 45′ | J. Martinez | ||
| 46′ | D. Zamora | ||
| 54′ | D. Aguilar | ||
| 59′ | M. NamboA. Flores | ||
| 66′ | M. A. Trejo Castro | ||
| 69′ | J. MartinezE. Castellanos | ||
| 70′ | M. DominguezV. Lopez | ||
| 70′ | A. IniestraC. Gonzalez | ||
| 70′ | ChristianD. Alvarez | ||
| 80′ | B. FloresE. Hernandez | ||
| 80′ | I. GoveaD. Hernandez | ||
| 89′ | E. Robles | ||
| 90′ | D. AguilarA. Andrade | ||
| 90′ | D. ZamoraP. Romero |
Monarcas vs Tlaxcala overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Monarcas vs Tlaxcala
| Probability | Monarcas | Draw | Tlaxcala |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.8% | 19.9% | 14.4% |
| Market | 64.3% | 20.7% | 15.0% |
| Final | 64.7% | 20.5% | 14.8% |
| Edge | +1.5% | -0.9% | -0.6% |
Why Monarcas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Monarcas and Tlaxcala expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.39
Monarcas and Tlaxcala attack and defence ratings
Monarcas
Tlaxcala
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Monarcas vs Tlaxcala: result vs prediction
Monarcas 1 – 1 Tlaxcala
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Monarcas vs Tlaxcala markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Monarcas | 64.7% | 1.55 | +1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Monarcas win | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Monarcas | 64.7% |
| Draw | 20.5% | |
| Tlaxcala | 14.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% |
| No | 40.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Monarcas win | 44.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 34.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.7% |
| 2-0 | 9.3% | |
| 1-1 | 9.0% |
Monarcas vs Tlaxcala stats
Monarcas and Tlaxcala recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Monarcas and Tlaxcala going into this match
Monarcas record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tlaxcala record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Monarcas vs Tlaxcala head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Monarcas | Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Tlaxcala | Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Tlaxcala | Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-01 | Monarcas | Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-09 | Monarcas | Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX | 3-1 |
| 2023-09-20 | Tlaxcala | Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-3 |
| 2023-01-06 | Tlaxcala | Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX | 0-0 |
| 2022-07-06 | Monarcas | Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-0 |
| 2022-01-09 | Tlaxcala | Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX | 0-4 |
| 2021-11-09 | Monarcas | Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Monarcas vs Tlaxcala odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.3%, draw 20.7%, away 15.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 5.00 | 6.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.33 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.45 | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 4.35 | 6.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 4.73 | 6.50 |
| SBO | 1.42 | 3.98 | 5.13 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.33 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .