Liga de Expansión MX · 2026-09-25T01:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Apertura - 10

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Piratas

3 – 0 Full time

13′			O. Soto
23′			U. Garcia
28′			L. Sandoval
29′			J. ClementeE. Ochoa
44′			A. Garcia
45′			E. Carballo
45′			J. Avila
46′			W. D. Castro GarciaL. Hernandez
49′			L. Sandoval
51′			O. Soto
51′			O. Soto
62′			R. GonzalezR. Palomares
62′			K. Y. Jaime SanchezF. Garcia
68′			K. MaganaJ. Esquivel
68′			C. A. Flores SanchezJ. Jimenez
70′			J. AvilaP. Rios
72′			D. Cruz
73′			B. FigueroaG. Lopez
73′			D. Lajud MartinezI. Doumbouya
80′			L. SandovalJ. Machado
83′			U. Garcia
89′			D. Cruz
89′			D. Cruz
90′			J. Machado

Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, ZacatecasReferee: R. Villa

Mineros de Zacatecas

34%

Draw

29%

Piratas

37%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Piratas overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mineros de Zacatecas vs Piratas

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Mineros de Zacatecas	Draw	Piratas
Model	42.6%	29.1%	28.2%
Market	31.7%	28.3%	40.0%
Final	34.4%	28.5%	37.1%
Edge	+10.9%	+0.8%	-11.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

91%

2+ goals

73%

3+ goals

46%

No goals

Mineros de Zacatecas and Piratas expected goals

Mineros de Zacatecas

1.40

Piratas

1.10

Total expected goals: 2.50

Mineros de Zacatecas and Piratas attack and defence ratings

Mineros de Zacatecas

Attack

1.08 +8%

Defence

0.96 -4%

Piratas

Attack

1.00 +0%

Defence

0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Piratas: result vs prediction

Mineros de Zacatecas 3 – 0 Piratas

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

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Before and after this match

Mineros de Zacatecas, previous: Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas prediction
Mineros de Zacatecas, next: Durango – Mineros de Zacatecas, 2026-10-04
Piratas, previous: Piratas – Venados FC, 2026-09-19
Piratas, next: Piratas v Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Piratas markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Piratas	37.1%	2.70	-11.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	54.3%	1.84	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	51.6%	1.94	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	71.5%	1.40	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	71.8%	1.39	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Mineros de Zacatecas	34.4%
	Draw	28.5%
	Piratas	37.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	45.7%
	Under 2.5	54.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	51.6%
	No	48.4%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	62.9%
	12 (either side)	71.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	65.6%
Handicap -1	Piratas win	11.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	16.7%
	Loss	71.8%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.9%
	1-0	10.2%
	0-0	9.4%

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Piratas stats

Mineros de Zacatecas and Piratas recent form

newest first

Mineros de Zacatecas	WLLWLW
Piratas	WDWDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mineros de Zacatecas and Piratas going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mineros de Zacatecas record

They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.

Piratas record

They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Piratas head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Piratas odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.7%, draw 28.3%, away 40.0%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.92	3.18	2.23
Bet365	2.90	3.40	2.30
BetVictor	2.90	3.30	2.30
Betano	2.90	3.25	2.30
Betfair	2.80	3.30	2.20
Marathonbet	2.85	3.18	2.21
Pinnacle	3.02	3.38	2.34
SBO	2.72	3.04	2.21
William Hill	2.80	3.10	2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.90 ▼ -0.38

X 3.25 ▲ +0.05

2 2.30 ▲ +0.25

11 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-19T16:10:02Z.