Liga de Expansión MX
·
Full time
·Apertura - 10
Dorados
vs
Durango
0 – 1 Full time
| 44′ | O. Coronel | ||
| 46′ | A. FloresC. Leyva | ||
| 46′ | J. AnguloL. Gutierrez | ||
| 46′ | G. PadillaD. Guajardo | ||
| 50′ | D. Guajardo | ||
| 57′ | L. Gutierrez | ||
| 60′ | L. VargasB. Ordorica | ||
| 62′ | A. Garcia | ||
| 63′ | J. I. Reyes Olguin | ||
| 64′ | J. I. Reyes Olguin | ||
| 65′ | S. Flores | ||
| 68′ | H. Real | ||
| 71′ | J. I. Reyes OlguinA. Ontiveros | ||
| 71′ | A. EscobozaA. Valenzuela | ||
| 71′ | A. GarciaL. Lorona | ||
| 76′ | C. Castro | ||
| 79′ | J. GonzalezC. Vega Hernandez | ||
| 79′ | F. ContrerasB. Sanchez | ||
| 79′ | D. OsunaC. Galicia | ||
| 82′ | B. Ordorica |
Dorados
55%
Draw
28%
Durango
17%
Dorados vs Durango overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dorados vs Durango
| Probability | Dorados | Draw | Durango |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.7% | 28.2% | 17.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.7% | 28.2% | 17.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dorados
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
11%
Dorados and Durango expected goals
Dorados
1.53
Durango
0.75
Total expected goals: 2.27
Dorados and Durango attack and defence ratings
Dorados
Attack
1.11 +11%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Durango
Attack
0.67 -33%
Defence
0.77 -23%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dorados vs Durango: result vs prediction
Dorados 0 – 1 Durango
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dorados vs Durango markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dorados | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dorados | 54.7% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Durango | 17.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.4% |
| No | 57.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dorados win | 29.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 45.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.5% |
| 1-1 | 12.9% | |
| 2-0 | 12.0% |
Dorados vs Durango stats
Dorados and Durango recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dorados and Durango going into this match
Dorados record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Durango record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Dorados vs Durango head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
0Dorados wins
1Draws
2Durango wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-07 | Durango | Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX | 3-0 |
| 2022-10-22 | Dorados | Durango | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-3 |
| 2022-08-25 | Dorados | Durango | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.