Tlaxcala
vs
CDS Tampico Madero
3 – 1 Full time
| 7′ | P. Gonzalez | ||
| 18′ | J. A. Ocejo Zazueta | ||
| 22′ | E. Robles | ||
| 44′ | M. RamirezJ. Zamudio | ||
| 47′ | M. A. Trejo Castro | ||
| 54′ | L. BoccoA. Serna | ||
| 64′ | E. HernandezA. Sanchez | ||
| 64′ | P. GonzalezR. E. Camacho Lastra | ||
| 69′ | C. CruzR. Gonzalez | ||
| 69′ | D. MaganaF. Lopez | ||
| 77′ | J. A. Ocejo ZazuetaD. Lopez | ||
| 78′ | I. OchoaJ. Lopez Gonzalez | ||
| 87′ | D. AlvarezChristian | ||
| 87′ | E. SantosJ. Freyfeld | ||
| 89′ | Christian | ||
| 90′ | Christian | ||
| 90′ | J. Tovar | ||
| 90′ | I. Ramirez | ||
| 90′ | J. Tovar | ||
| 90′ | J. Tovar | ||
| 90′ | E. Garcia | ||
| 90′ | D. Lopez | ||
| 90′ | Christian |
Tlaxcala vs CDS Tampico Madero overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tlaxcala vs CDS Tampico Madero
| Probability | Tlaxcala | Draw | CDS Tampico Madero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.9% | 26.5% | 28.6% |
| Market | 40.2% | 29.4% | 30.4% |
| Final | 41.4% | 28.7% | 30.0% |
| Edge | +4.7% | -2.9% | -1.8% |
Why Tlaxcala
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.27.
- The market prices Tlaxcala below the model: +4.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tlaxcala and CDS Tampico Madero expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
Tlaxcala and CDS Tampico Madero attack and defence ratings
Tlaxcala
CDS Tampico Madero
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tlaxcala vs CDS Tampico Madero: result vs prediction
Tlaxcala 3 – 1 CDS Tampico Madero
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tlaxcala vs CDS Tampico Madero markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tlaxcala | 41.4% | 2.42 | +4.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tlaxcala | 41.4% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| CDS Tampico Madero | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.2% |
| No | 40.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tlaxcala win | 24.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 55.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 7.8% |
Tlaxcala vs CDS Tampico Madero stats
Tlaxcala and CDS Tampico Madero recent form
| Tlaxcala |
DWLDLL |
| CDS Tampico Madero |
WLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tlaxcala and CDS Tampico Madero going into this match
Tlaxcala record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CDS Tampico Madero record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Tlaxcala vs CDS Tampico Madero head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | CDS Tampico Madero | Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Tlaxcala | CDS Tampico Madero | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Tlaxcala | CDS Tampico Madero | Liga de Expansión MX | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-15 | CDS Tampico Madero | Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tlaxcala vs CDS Tampico Madero odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.6%, draw 29.3%, away 31.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.78 |
| 1xBet | 2.25 | 3.08 | 3.02 |
| 888Sport | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.41 | 3.15 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.23 | 3.08 | 2.96 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32 | 3.27 | 3.19 |
| SBO | 2.27 | 2.99 | 2.67 |
| Superbet | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.85 |
| Unibet | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .