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Liga de Expansión MX · Full time ·Apertura - 8

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas

0 – 1 Full time

24′E. Carballo
28′R. del Campo
30′L. Hernandez
37′K. Magana
51′R. del Campo
54′M. Rodriguez
62′R. Sandoval
67′E. Carballo
67′E. Carballo
68′C. A. Flores Sanchez
72′A. VillalobosL. Sandoval
75′R. del CampoV. Lopez
75′M. RodriguezA. Flores
76′K. MaganaP. Rios
76′J. MachadoW. D. Castro Garcia
82′L. Hernandez
85′J. AvilaD. Marmolejo
85′C. A. Flores SanchezR. Rios
88′M. Dominguez
88′M. DominguezE. Castellanos
88′R. Lopez AburtoJ. Van Rankin
90′M. NamboP. Romero

Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, ZacatecasReferee: H. Solorio Arreola

Mineros de Zacatecas 40%
Draw 26%
Monarcas 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMineros de ZacatecasDrawMonarcas
Model45.5%24.0%30.5%
Market38.6%26.9%34.5%
Final40.3%26.2%33.5%
Edge+6.9%-2.9%-4.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Mineros de Zacatecas

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.53.
  • The market prices Mineros de Zacatecas below the model: +6.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mineros de Zac ↓ / Monarcas → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Mineros de Zacatecas and Monarcas expected goals

Mineros de Zacatecas 1.91
Monarcas 1.53

Total expected goals: 3.44

Mineros de Zacatecas and Monarcas attack and defence ratings

Mineros de Zacatecas

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Monarcas

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas: result vs prediction

Mineros de Zacatecas 0 – 1 Monarcas

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 8 fixtures

Liga de Expansión MX

Before and after this match

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mineros de Zacatecas 40.3% 2.48 +6.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.9% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.8% 1.47 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.1% 1.85 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mineros de Zacatecas40.3%
Draw26.2%
Monarcas33.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.9%
Under 2.533.1%
Both teams to scoreYes67.8%
No32.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.5%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)59.7%
Handicap -1Mineros de Zacatecas win26.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss54.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
2-18.9%
1-27.2%

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas stats

Mineros de Zacatecas and Monarcas recent form

newest first
Mineros de Zacatecas LWLWDW
Monarcas WWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mineros de Zacatecas and Monarcas going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mineros de Zacatecas record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.

Monarcas record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Mineros de Zacatecas wins 4Draws 2Monarcas wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26MonarcasMineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX2-0
2026-04-23Mineros de ZacatecasMonarcasLiga de Expansión MX3-0
2026-02-07Mineros de ZacatecasMonarcasLiga de Expansión MX1-1
2025-08-31MonarcasMineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX3-0
2025-04-06Mineros de ZacatecasMonarcasLiga de Expansión MX1-1
2024-10-18MonarcasMineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX0-0
2024-01-29MonarcasMineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX1-2
2023-07-24Mineros de ZacatecasMonarcasLiga de Expansión MX4-0
2023-03-08MonarcasMineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX1-2
2022-09-25Mineros de ZacatecasMonarcasLiga de Expansión MX2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.6%, draw 26.8%, away 34.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.50 3.45 2.65
1xBet 2.36 3.25 2.64
888Sport 2.30 3.50 2.50
Bet365 2.45 3.50 2.70
BetVictor 2.38 3.60 2.60
Betano 2.42 3.35 2.65
Betfair 2.30 3.50 2.63
Dafabet 2.46 3.30 2.70
Marathonbet 2.36 3.25 2.64
Pinnacle 2.51 3.38 2.81
SBO 2.22 3.30 2.52
Superbet 2.45 3.25 2.67
Unibet 2.28 3.50 2.85
William Hill 2.30 3.50 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.36 ▲ +0.20
X 3.38 ▲ +0.19
2 2.64 ▼ -0.47

13 snapshots recorded, from .