CA La Paz
vs
Mineros de Zacatecas
3 – 0 Full time
| 18′ | U. Jaimes | ||
| 36′ | O. Mazatan | ||
| 43′ | A. Villalobos | ||
| 51′ | U. Zurita Jimenez | ||
| 52′ | L. Cervantes | ||
| 65′ | A. VillalobosP. Rios | ||
| 65′ | K. MaganaL. Sandoval | ||
| 67′ | U. JaimesJ. Ferrer | ||
| 68′ | O. MillanM. Garcia | ||
| 70′ | J. Esquivel | ||
| 74′ | J. MachadoC. A. Flores Sanchez | ||
| 74′ | J. AvilaW. D. Castro Garcia | ||
| 83′ | M. Barragan | ||
| 84′ | A. RoblesR. Renteria | ||
| 84′ | F. IllescasI. Larios | ||
| 84′ | E. CarballoM. Cordero | ||
| 87′ | J. Ferrer | ||
| 89′ | M. BarraganD. Hernandez |
CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas
| Probability | CA La Paz | Draw | Mineros de Zacatecas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.3% | 23.8% | 26.9% |
| Market | 49.5% | 22.9% | 27.6% |
| Final | 49.4% | 23.1% | 27.4% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +0.9% | -0.7% |
Why CA La Paz
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.42.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CA La Paz and Mineros de Zacatecas expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.37
CA La Paz and Mineros de Zacatecas attack and defence ratings
CA La Paz
Mineros de Zacatecas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas: result vs prediction
CA La Paz 3 – 0 Mineros de Zacatecas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CA La Paz | 49.4% | 2.02 | -0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CA La Paz | 49.4% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Mineros de Zacatecas | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% |
| No | 34.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | CA La Paz win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 50.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 6.7% |
CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas stats
CA La Paz and Mineros de Zacatecas recent form
| WDWWLL | |
| WLWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CA La Paz and Mineros de Zacatecas going into this match
CA La Paz record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
Mineros de Zacatecas record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Mineros de Zacatecas | CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | CA La Paz | Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-08 | CA La Paz | Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga de Expansión MX | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-19 | Mineros de Zacatecas | CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX | 4-0 |
| 2024-04-18 | CA La Paz | Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-3 |
| 2024-03-08 | Mineros de Zacatecas | CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX | 3-0 |
| 2023-10-16 | CA La Paz | Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-4 |
| 2023-01-05 | CA La Paz | Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-0 |
| 2022-08-17 | Mineros de Zacatecas | CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.5%, draw 24.8%, away 27.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.95 | 3.85 | 3.35 |
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.58 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.65 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 1.99 | 3.75 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 3.58 | 3.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.81 | 3.60 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 3.36 | 2.78 |
| Superbet | 2.05 | 3.55 | 3.10 |
| Unibet | 1.90 | 3.55 | 3.30 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .