Liga de Expansión MX · Full time ·Apertura - 7

CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas

3 – 0 Full time

18′U. Jaimes
36′O. Mazatan
43′A. Villalobos
51′U. Zurita Jimenez
52′L. Cervantes
65′A. VillalobosP. Rios
65′K. MaganaL. Sandoval
67′U. JaimesJ. Ferrer
68′O. MillanM. Garcia
70′J. Esquivel
74′J. MachadoC. A. Flores Sanchez
74′J. AvilaW. D. Castro Garcia
83′M. Barragan
84′A. RoblesR. Renteria
84′F. IllescasI. Larios
84′E. CarballoM. Cordero
87′J. Ferrer
89′M. BarraganD. Hernandez

Estadio Guaycura, La PazReferee: O. Ortega

CA La Paz 49%
Draw 23%
Mineros de Zacatecas 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCA La PazDrawMineros de Zacatecas
Model49.3%23.8%26.9%
Market49.5%22.9%27.6%
Final49.4%23.1%27.4%
Edge-0.2%+0.9%-0.7%

Confidence: Low

Why CA La Paz

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.42.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CA La Paz ↓ / Mineros de Zac → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 7% 2 7% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

CA La Paz and Mineros de Zacatecas expected goals

CA La Paz 1.96
Mineros de Zacatecas 1.42

Total expected goals: 3.37

CA La Paz and Mineros de Zacatecas attack and defence ratings

CA La Paz

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Mineros de Zacatecas

Attack 1.40 +40%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas: result vs prediction

CA La Paz 3 – 0 Mineros de Zacatecas

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 7 fixtures

Liga de Expansión MX

Before and after this match

CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CA La Paz 49.4% 2.02 -0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.4% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.9% 1.52 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.9% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.8% 1.97 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CA La Paz49.4%
Draw23.1%
Mineros de Zacatecas27.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.4%
Under 2.534.6%
Both teams to scoreYes65.9%
No34.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.6%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)50.6%
Handicap -1CA La Paz win28.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss50.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.5%
2-19.3%
1-26.7%

CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas stats

CA La Paz and Mineros de Zacatecas recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CA La Paz and Mineros de Zacatecas going into this match

league record before kick-off

CA La Paz record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

Mineros de Zacatecas record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.

CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

1CA La Paz wins 1Draws 7Mineros de Zacatecas wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-24Mineros de ZacatecasCA La PazLiga de Expansión MX0-0
2025-08-16CA La PazMineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX1-2
2025-03-08CA La PazMineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX0-2
2024-09-19Mineros de ZacatecasCA La PazLiga de Expansión MX4-0
2024-04-18CA La PazMineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX2-3
2024-03-08Mineros de ZacatecasCA La PazLiga de Expansión MX3-0
2023-10-16CA La PazMineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX1-4
2023-01-05CA La PazMineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX2-0
2022-08-17Mineros de ZacatecasCA La PazLiga de Expansión MX2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.5%, draw 24.8%, away 27.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.95 3.85 3.35
1xBet 1.90 3.58 3.40
Bet365 1.90 4.10 3.40
BetVictor 1.95 3.80 3.25
Betano 1.95 3.65 3.30
Betfair 1.91 3.80 3.10
Dafabet 1.99 3.75 3.30
Marathonbet 1.86 3.58 3.40
Pinnacle 1.93 3.81 3.60
SBO 1.95 3.36 2.78
Superbet 2.05 3.55 3.10
Unibet 1.90 3.55 3.30
William Hill 1.91 3.70 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▼ -0.13
X 4.10 ▲ +0.55
2 3.40 ▲ +0.24

8 snapshots recorded, from .