Liga de Expansión MX
·
Full time
·Apertura - 7
Cancún
vs
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6 – 0 Full time
| 12′ | J. Rodriguez | ||
| 20′ | C. Trejo | ||
| 29′ | I. Silva | ||
| 31′ | K. Gonzalez | ||
| 33′ | I. Silva | ||
| 33′ | I. Silva | ||
| 38′ | C. ValdiviaC. Leon | ||
| 46′ | S. De Los RiosX. Camacho | ||
| 46′ | B. GamboaE. Castaneda | ||
| 58′ | D. Guillen | ||
| 58′ | L. Lopez | ||
| 61′ | D. GuillenL. Ruiz | ||
| 61′ | L. LopezP. Uscanga | ||
| 68′ | K. CamposC. Vela | ||
| 73′ | E. SanchezA. Cubillas | ||
| 76′ | J. Rodriguez | ||
| 81′ | J. HernandezA. Arredondo | ||
| 81′ | F. MelendreG. Preciado | ||
| 84′ | L. DerbezD. Ramirez | ||
| 84′ | C. Vela | ||
| 90′ | J. Rodriguez | ||
| 90′ | C. Trejo |
Cancún
39%
Draw
29%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
33%
Cancún vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cancún vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
| Probability | Cancún | Draw | Cruz Azul Hidalgo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.8% | 28.7% | 32.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.8% | 28.7% | 32.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Cancún
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
8%
Cancún and Cruz Azul Hidalgo expected goals
Cancún
1.38
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1.25
Total expected goals: 2.63
Cancún and Cruz Azul Hidalgo attack and defence ratings
Cancún
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cancún vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo: result vs prediction
Cancún 6 – 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cancún vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cancún | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cancún | 38.8% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 32.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% |
| No | 45.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cancún win | 18.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 61.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.6% |
Cancún vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo stats
Cancún and Cruz Azul Hidalgo recent form
| Cancún |
LWWLLD |
| Cruz Azul Hidalgo |
WDLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cancún and Cruz Azul Hidalgo going into this match
Cancún record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.