Liga de Expansión MX
·
Full time
·Apertura - 7
Durango
vs
Tlaxcala
1 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | E. Hernandez | ||
| 28′ | B. Flores | ||
| 45′ | S. Flores | ||
| 45′ | C. Gonzalez | ||
| 46′ | D. OteoL. Lorona | ||
| 46′ | A. OntiverosC. Vega Hernandez | ||
| 50′ | I. Govea | ||
| 52′ | C. Vega Hernandez | ||
| 55′ | E. HernandezD. Alvarez | ||
| 56′ | R. E. Camacho LastraChristian | ||
| 63′ | H. Real | ||
| 67′ | L. MoralesJ. Angulo | ||
| 69′ | B. FloresE. Santos | ||
| 69′ | F. FigueroaM. Ramirez | ||
| 73′ | C. Gonzalez | ||
| 73′ | C. Gonzalez | ||
| 75′ | J. TorresC. Siqueiros | ||
| 79′ | R. DominguezB. Munoz | ||
| 80′ | E. RoblesA. Iniestra | ||
| 83′ | P. Bedolla | ||
| 90′ | B. Munoz | ||
| 90′ | L. Lorona | ||
| 90′ | E. Cantu |
Durango
42%
Draw
31%
Tlaxcala
28%
Durango vs Tlaxcala overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Durango vs Tlaxcala
| Probability | Durango | Draw | Tlaxcala |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.5% | 30.7% | 27.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.5% | 30.7% | 27.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Durango
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
11%
Durango and Tlaxcala expected goals
Durango
1.28
Tlaxcala
1.00
Total expected goals: 2.29
Durango and Tlaxcala attack and defence ratings
Durango
Attack
0.63 -37%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Tlaxcala
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Durango vs Tlaxcala: result vs prediction
Durango 1 – 1 Tlaxcala
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Durango vs Tlaxcala markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Durango | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Durango | 41.5% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Tlaxcala | 27.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Durango win | 19.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 58.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Durango vs Tlaxcala stats
Durango and Tlaxcala recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Durango and Tlaxcala going into this match
Durango record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Tlaxcala record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Durango vs Tlaxcala head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
2Durango wins
0Draws
0Tlaxcala wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-27 | Tlaxcala | Durango | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-2 |
| 2022-08-03 | Durango | Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.