Liga de Expansión MX
·
Full time
·Apertura - 6
Correcaminos Uat
vs
Durango
0 – 0 Full time
Correcaminos Uat
64%
Draw
21%
Durango
15%
Correcaminos Uat vs Durango overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Correcaminos Uat vs Durango
| Probability | Correcaminos Uat | Draw | Durango |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.1% | 20.6% | 15.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 64.1% | 20.6% | 15.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Correcaminos Uat
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
64%
No goals
4%
Correcaminos Uat and Durango expected goals
Correcaminos Uat
2.27
Durango
1.05
Total expected goals: 3.31
Correcaminos Uat and Durango attack and defence ratings
Correcaminos Uat
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
1.27 +27%
Durango
Attack
0.70 -30%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Correcaminos Uat vs Durango: result vs prediction
Correcaminos Uat 0 – 0 Durango
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Correcaminos Uat vs Durango markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Correcaminos Uat | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Correcaminos Uat win | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Correcaminos Uat | 64.1% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Durango | 15.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.0% |
| No | 41.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Correcaminos Uat win | 42.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 36.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 9.4% |
Correcaminos Uat vs Durango stats
Correcaminos Uat and Durango recent form
| Correcaminos Uat |
WLWWDL |
| Durango |
LLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Correcaminos Uat and Durango going into this match
Correcaminos Uat record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
Durango record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Correcaminos Uat vs Durango head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1Correcaminos Uat wins
0Draws
1Durango wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-29 | Durango | Correcaminos Uat | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-0 |
| 2022-07-13 | Correcaminos Uat | Durango | Liga de Expansión MX | 5-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.