Dorados
vs
Monarcas
0 – 1 Full time
Dorados vs Monarcas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dorados vs Monarcas
| Probability | Dorados | Draw | Monarcas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.3% | 25.3% | 33.5% |
| Market | 32.0% | 27.1% | 40.8% |
| Final | 34.3% | 26.7% | 39.0% |
| Edge | +9.2% | -1.9% | -7.4% |
Why Monarcas
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dorados and Monarcas expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.23
Dorados and Monarcas attack and defence ratings
Dorados
Monarcas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dorados vs Monarcas: result vs prediction
Dorados 0 – 1 Monarcas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 6 fixtures
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Tapatío — match page
- Cancún vs CA La Paz — team news & stats
- Correcaminos Uat v Durango — match page
- Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tepatitlán — team news & stats
- Tlaxcala vs Venados FC
- Mineros de Zacatecas v CDS Tampico Madero — match page
- Leones Negros UDG vs Piratas — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Dorados vs Monarcas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Monarcas | 39.0% | 2.57 | -7.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dorados | 34.3% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Monarcas | 39.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% |
| No | 35.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Monarcas win | 16.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.1% | |
| Loss | 66.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Dorados vs Monarcas stats
Dorados and Monarcas recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dorados and Monarcas going into this match
Dorados record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Monarcas record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dorados vs Monarcas head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Dorados | Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Monarcas | Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-16 | Dorados | Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX | 5-1 |
| 2024-08-31 | Monarcas | Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-07 | Dorados | Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-25 | Monarcas | Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX | 4-0 |
| 2023-03-27 | Dorados | Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX | 0-1 |
| 2022-09-05 | Monarcas | Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX | 3-0 |
| 2022-03-04 | Monarcas | Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-0 |
| 2021-08-04 | Dorados | Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dorados vs Monarcas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.0%, draw 27.1%, away 40.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.86 | 3.45 | 2.32 |
| 1xBet | 2.84 | 3.35 | 2.23 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.35 |
| Betano | 2.85 | 3.30 | 2.27 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.78 | 3.38 | 2.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.92 | 3.36 | 2.35 |
| SBO | 2.82 | 3.07 | 2.04 |
| Superbet | 2.95 | 3.30 | 2.22 |
| Unibet | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .