Mineros de Zacatecas
vs
CDS Tampico Madero
2 – 0 Full time
Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero
| Probability | Mineros de Zacatecas | Draw | CDS Tampico Madero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.6% | 23.7% | 19.7% |
| Market | 48.4% | 25.7% | 25.9% |
| Final | 50.5% | 25.2% | 24.4% |
| Edge | +8.2% | -2.0% | -6.2% |
Why Mineros de Zacatecas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.09.
- The market prices Mineros de Zacatecas below the model: +8.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mineros de Zacatecas and CDS Tampico Madero expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.07
Mineros de Zacatecas and CDS Tampico Madero attack and defence ratings
Mineros de Zacatecas
CDS Tampico Madero
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero: result vs prediction
Mineros de Zacatecas 2 – 0 CDS Tampico Madero
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 50.5% | 1.98 | +8.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 50.5% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| CDS Tampico Madero | 24.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% |
| No | 41.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mineros de Zacatecas win | 34.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 43.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.0% |
Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero stats
Mineros de Zacatecas and CDS Tampico Madero recent form
| Mineros de Zacatecas |
LWDWDD |
| CDS Tampico Madero |
WLWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mineros de Zacatecas and CDS Tampico Madero going into this match
Mineros de Zacatecas record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
CDS Tampico Madero record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Mineros de Zacatecas | CDS Tampico Madero | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-16 | CDS Tampico Madero | Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.4%, draw 25.7%, away 25.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.58 | 3.58 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.55 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.60 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.58 | 3.52 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 3.71 | 3.67 |
| Superbet | 1.92 | 3.55 | 3.50 |
| Unibet | 1.97 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .