Tapatío
vs
Mineros de Zacatecas
4 – 2 Full time
Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas
| Probability | Tapatío | Draw | Mineros de Zacatecas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.5% | 24.4% | 37.1% |
| Market | 42.7% | 26.7% | 30.6% |
| Final | 41.7% | 26.1% | 32.2% |
| Edge | -4.2% | -2.2% | +6.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tapatío and Mineros de Zacatecas expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.43
Tapatío and Mineros de Zacatecas attack and defence ratings
Tapatío
Mineros de Zacatecas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas: result vs prediction
Tapatío 4 – 2 Mineros de Zacatecas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tapatío | 41.7% | 2.40 | -4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tapatío | 41.7% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Mineros de Zacatecas | 32.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.1% |
| No | 31.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tapatío win | 20.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 61.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.3% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas stats
Tapatío and Mineros de Zacatecas recent form
| Tapatío |
WLWDLD |
| Mineros de Zacatecas |
WDWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tapatío and Mineros de Zacatecas going into this match
Tapatío record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Mineros de Zacatecas record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | Mineros de Zacatecas | Tapatío | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Tapatío | Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.8%, draw 26.7%, away 30.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.14 | 3.60 | 3.05 |
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.44 | 3.00 |
| 888Sport | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 3.44 | 2.95 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.68 | 3.12 |
| SBO | 2.10 | 3.21 | 2.75 |
| Superbet | 2.17 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| Unibet | 2.06 | 3.40 | 3.05 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .