Piratas
vs
Cancún
0 – 1 Full time
Piratas vs Cancún overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Piratas vs Cancún
| Probability | Piratas | Draw | Cancún |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.0% | 28.7% | 19.3% |
| Market | 56.2% | 25.4% | 18.4% |
| Final | 55.1% | 26.2% | 18.6% |
| Edge | -4.2% | +3.3% | +0.9% |
Why Piratas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.82.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Piratas and Cancún expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Piratas and Cancún attack and defence ratings
Piratas
Cancún
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Piratas vs Cancún: result vs prediction
Piratas 0 – 1 Cancún
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Piratas vs Cancún markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Piratas | 55.1% | 1.81 | -4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Piratas | 55.1% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Cancún | 18.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Piratas win | 27.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 48.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.6% |
| 1-1 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.2% |
Piratas vs Cancún stats
Piratas and Cancún recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Piratas and Cancún going into this match
Piratas record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cancún record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Piratas vs Cancún head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Piratas vs Cancún odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.2%, draw 25.4%, away 18.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.56 | 3.85 | 6.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.63 | 3.48 | 5.03 |
| 888Sport | 1.62 | 3.50 | 4.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.50 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 3.65 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.65 | 3.65 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 3.48 | 4.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 3.67 | 5.28 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.34 | 4.54 |
| Superbet | 1.63 | 3.60 | 4.90 |
| Unibet | 1.62 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.30 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .