CDS Tampico Madero
vs
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 – 1 Full time
CDS Tampico Madero vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CDS Tampico Madero vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
| Probability | CDS Tampico Madero | Draw | Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.6% | 28.0% | 19.4% |
| Market | 52.4% | 25.8% | 21.8% |
| Final | 52.4% | 26.4% | 21.2% |
| Edge | +0.3% | +2.2% | -2.4% |
Why CDS Tampico Madero
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.85.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CDS Tampico Madero and Alebrijes de Oaxaca expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
CDS Tampico Madero and Alebrijes de Oaxaca attack and defence ratings
CDS Tampico Madero
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CDS Tampico Madero vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca: result vs prediction
CDS Tampico Madero 2 – 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
CDS Tampico Madero vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CDS Tampico Madero | 52.4% | 1.91 | +0.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CDS Tampico Madero | 52.4% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 21.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | CDS Tampico Madero win | 28.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 47.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.9% | |
| 2-0 | 10.9% |
CDS Tampico Madero vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca stats
CDS Tampico Madero and Alebrijes de Oaxaca recent form
| CDS Tampico Madero |
LWLDWL |
| Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
WWLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CDS Tampico Madero and Alebrijes de Oaxaca going into this match
CDS Tampico Madero record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
CDS Tampico Madero vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | CDS Tampico Madero | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-02 | CDS Tampico Madero | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Liga de Expansión MX | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CDS Tampico Madero vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.7%, draw 26.1%, away 22.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.99 | 3.45 | 3.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.38 | 4.03 |
| 888Sport | 1.91 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.55 | 3.85 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.75 | 3.65 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 3.38 | 3.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.87 | 4.22 |
| SBO | 1.70 | 3.23 | 4.00 |
| Superbet | 1.74 | 3.55 | 4.25 |
| Unibet | 1.79 | 3.30 | 3.95 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .