CDS Tampico Madero
vs
Venados FC
4 – 3 Full time
| 5′ | J. A. Ocejo Zazueta | ||
| 7′ | S. Montiel | ||
| 11′ | C. Cruz | ||
| 24′ | O. Manzanarez | ||
| 41′ | J. Martinez | ||
| 42′ | L. Macias | ||
| 45′ | J. A. Ocejo Zazueta | ||
| 46′ | D. MaganaR. Gonzalez | ||
| 46′ | M. MontelongoS. Saucedo | ||
| 49′ | E. Torres | ||
| 51′ | D. Tejeda | ||
| 52′ | S. Lora | ||
| 54′ | A. Dominguez | ||
| 56′ | K. AmadorOchoa Brandon | ||
| 64′ | L. MaciasE. Torres | ||
| 64′ | A. DominguezP. Kilani | ||
| 65′ | J. MartinezJ. Tovar | ||
| 72′ | P. Kilani | ||
| 73′ | A. Grijalva | ||
| 76′ | L. BoccoS. Martinez | ||
| 78′ | A. Rios | ||
| 84′ | S. MontielJ. Cruz | ||
| 84′ | A. GrijalvaL. Lazarte | ||
| 86′ | A. RiosJ. Lopez Gonzalez | ||
| 86′ | J. A. Ocejo ZazuetaI. Ramirez | ||
| 90′ | L. Lazarte | ||
| 90′ | I. Dominguez |
CDS Tampico Madero vs Venados FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CDS Tampico Madero vs Venados FC
| Probability | CDS Tampico Madero | Draw | Venados FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.8% | 26.5% | 27.7% |
| Market | 49.8% | 25.1% | 25.2% |
| Final | 48.8% | 25.4% | 25.8% |
| Edge | -4.0% | +1.5% | +2.5% |
Why CDS Tampico Madero
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.24.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CDS Tampico Madero and Venados FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.89
CDS Tampico Madero and Venados FC attack and defence ratings
CDS Tampico Madero
Venados FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CDS Tampico Madero vs Venados FC: result vs prediction
CDS Tampico Madero 4 – 3 Venados FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
CDS Tampico Madero vs Venados FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CDS Tampico Madero | 48.8% | 2.05 | -4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CDS Tampico Madero | 48.8% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Venados FC | 25.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% |
| No | 41.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | CDS Tampico Madero win | 24.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 54.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 8.0% |
CDS Tampico Madero vs Venados FC stats
CDS Tampico Madero and Venados FC recent form
| CDS Tampico Madero |
LWLWLD |
| Venados FC |
LWLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CDS Tampico Madero and Venados FC going into this match
CDS Tampico Madero record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Venados FC record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CDS Tampico Madero vs Venados FC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | CDS Tampico Madero | Venados FC | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Venados FC | CDS Tampico Madero | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Venados FC | CDS Tampico Madero | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-03 | CDS Tampico Madero | Venados FC | Liga de Expansión MX | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CDS Tampico Madero vs Venados FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.1%, draw 24.5%, away 24.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.74 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.62 | 3.68 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.77 | 3.85 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 3.62 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.84 | 3.78 |
| SBO | 1.65 | 3.42 | 3.70 |
| Unibet | 1.72 | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .